{"id":9791,"date":"2014-03-25T16:34:38","date_gmt":"2014-03-25T16:34:38","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2014-03-25T16:34:38","modified_gmt":"2014-03-25T16:34:38","slug":"liberals_turn_on_nate_silver","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/admin.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/2014\/03\/25\/liberals_turn_on_nate_silver\/","title":{"rendered":"Liberals Turn on Nate Silver"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"Listen<\/a><\/p>\n

RUSH: Do you remember the name Nate Silver? You know Nate Silver. He was this wunderkind data analyst. He analyzed polling data apparently better than anybody ever had. He was at the New York Times. <\/p>\n

Well, he missed the 2010 midterms, but everybody promptly forget about that. He called the 2008 presidential race, and he called the 2012 presidential race almost exactly. So he became a hero to the Democrats. And during the 2012 campaign there was all kinds of confusion about the polling data. You had Dick Morris out there saying, “Well, you\u2019re gonna have all kinds of Romney turnout that\u2019s not reported in these polls. Romney\u2019s gonna win big, five, six points,” or whatever.<\/p>\n

<\/a>A lot of Democrats were afraid that was gonna happen because there was no happiness left with Obama. But Nate Silver was saying, “Don\u2019t worry! Don\u2019t worry! Obama\u2019s got this in the bag, and handily so,” and readers of the New York Times would post comments, “Ah, thank God for Nate Silver!” Well, Nate Silver has just predicted better than 50-50 Republicans win the Senate, and now they\u2019re turning on him. Now they hate him. Ha-ha. <\/p>\n

BREAK TRANSCRIPT<\/p>\n

RUSH: They loved Nate Silver. They went to bed feeling confident because of Nate Silver. They didn\u2019t worry a wink about Obama\u2019s reelection because of Nate Silver. Nate Silver was the bible, Nate Silver and his FiveThirtyEight blog at the New York Times. Now, he started out as a sports statistician analyst, and then he got into politics. He didn\u2019t do his own polling data.<\/p>\n

He just analyzed everybody else\u2019s polling data, and apparently came up with an algorithm and a formula that made everybody else\u2019s look like first grade. And he became THE guru. Whatever he said, people went to the bank on. He missed the 2010 midterms. He didn\u2019t see the massive Republican landslide in 2010. He got the Republican victory right but not the size of it. But in 2012, nailed it. <\/p>\n

And shortly after the 2012 election, Nate Silver announced that he was tired of doing political poll analysis and was taking his FiveThirtyEight blog to ESPN, \u2019cause he\u2019s a sports guy at heart. So he\u2019s now doing sports-stat analysis and other things for ESPN. But he also has begun, in his spare time, to dabble into the political polling universe once again. He was on This Week this past Sunday on ABC. <\/p>\n

Jonathan Karl interviewed him, and he said, “Republicans need six seats. What\u2019s the projection [for the midterms]? How many are they going to pick up?”<\/p>\n

SILVER: I\u2019d say exactly six, but it\u2019s probably six +\/- five. That means it could be —<\/p>\n

KARL: That means they could pick up 11 seats!<\/p>\n

SILVER: They could, yeah. <\/p>\n

KARL: What you\u2019re basically saying is a 60% chance that Republicans win the Senate?<\/p>\n

SILVER: Something like that.<\/p>\n

RUSH: Sixty percent chance. It could be as many as 11 seats. Now, remember, the Democrats, the left thinks this guy is infallible. So many really invested their psychological health in what Nate Silver was saying during the questionable, nervous days and months leading up to the 2012 election. Now the Democrats are all saying, <\/line>“Well, you know what? His model really isn\u2019t all that hot. <\/line><\/p>\n

“Nate Silver\u2019s computer model, it\u2019s not settled science. It\u2019s nothing we can count on, here.” They\u2019re doing everything they can now to disqualify Nate Silver, to say he doesn\u2019t know what he\u2019s talking about. Democrats like Paul Krugman are out all over the place saying, “Hey, you know what? Computer models like Silver\u2019s, we gotta throw \u2019em out, because they can be wrong.” <\/p>\n

Oh, you mean like the climate change models, Paul? Are you gonna throw those out, too, or are you just gonna throw out the models that show bad news for your side? They never admit the global warming models can be wrong. I mean, the global warming models are “settled science.” Remember the point that I made yesterday — and do not doubt me on this.<\/p>\n

Virtually everything that you have heard from climate change\/global warming proponents predict and warn you about come strictly from computer models, which are predicting the future 10, 20, 50, 100 years out. The global warming debate is not even about science. It is pure politics. It is not even using empirical data. It\u2019s not using factual data from the past. Some of that\u2019s been doctored.<\/p>\n

It\u2019s not using scientific data. <\/p>\n

It\u2019s using computer models that activists have created, and plugged in the data they want to get the results they want. And they have portrayed their models to be infallible. Algore, everybody. They\u2019re using computer models. They\u2019re not using science. Meanwhile, the scientists on our side, the so-called “denier” side, have gone full bore into science to try to disprove what these people are doing, and they\u2019re even talking the same language.<\/p>\n

What our side needs to do is come up with their own models that show no warming and no this and no that to compete, because models are it. Gotta throw those out. But Nate Silver\u2019s models — which are forecasting the future based on real, hard empirical data — now have to be thrown out. You think Nate Silver would have been allowed to espouse such negative projections if he were still working at the New York Times? <\/p>\n

If Nate Silver were working at the New York Times and produced this body of work on the 2012 or 2014 midterms coming up, why, I think the roasting he would get would be horrible. I mean, they\u2019d have kick him out. They\u2019d call him a traitor. Here\u2019s the story in TheHill.com: “Democrats are turning against Nate Silver, the political data guru they touted in 2012. <\/p>\n

“Two years ago he was described as soothsayer after repeatedly saying that President Obama would win a second term, accurately predicting the winner of each state in the 2012 contest. Conservatives ripped Silver back then for his ‘flawed model,\u2019 with some claiming Silver was a biased liberal. Democrats loved him then, but now they\u00c2\u2019re attacking him. <\/p>\n

“The difference, of course, is that the Democrats\u2019 political fortunes have taken a turn for the worse and Silver isn\u00c2\u2019t optimistic about their chances in November.” Silver, for some reason, cares about the credibility of his work, and he doesn\u2019t want to taint it with what he hopes happens. He\u2019s actually simply reporting the data that his models are producing based on all the polling data that\u2019s out there. <\/p>\n

Just like Matt Drudge must be castigated, hated, and despised for opting out of Obamacare and not buying a policy, Nate Silver must now be disenfranchised and thrown to the wolves because he is not furthering the cause. And they don\u2019t care how many lies or distortions are necessary to further the cause because all of liberalism is a lie. All of liberalism is a distortion. <\/p>\n

If liberals were honest about what they really intended to do, they would never get elected president. Ever. Nobody. We haven\u2019t lost the country to that degree. “‘We think the Republicans are now slight favorites to win at least six seats and capture the chamber,\u2019 Silver wrote, predicting Republicans could net as many as 11 seats.” (interruption) Charlie Cook, yeah. Nate Silver\u2019s not the only one.<\/p>\n

But Nate Silver, he was god. <\/p>\n

Nate Silver was the final authority. <\/p>\n

Nate Silver was the guy that all these worried, paranoid Democrats relied upon for their sanity. I\u2019m not exaggerating this. It was amusing to read comments posted to the FiveThirtyEight blog in the New York Times from Democrats in San Francisco and all over the country, saying they could sleep at night now without an Ambien because Nate Silver was saying it was gonna be okay. <\/p>\n

This is what they tend to do. They invest in a singular, messianic personality — and when that person doesn\u2019t follow what they hope or want, then they are challenged. I mean, it\u2019s a sanity challenge. So they\u2019re very upset and turning on him, and it probably is going to get worse for the poor guy before it gets better. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

RUSH: Do you remember the name Nate Silver? You know Nate Silver. He was this wunderkind data analyst. He analyzed polling data apparently better than anybody ever had. He was at the New York Times. Well, he missed the 2010 midterms, but everybody promptly forget about that. 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