{"id":4157,"date":"2016-02-18T18:03:08","date_gmt":"2016-02-18T18:03:08","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2016-02-18T18:03:08","modified_gmt":"2016-02-18T18:03:08","slug":"a_review_of_the_latest_gop_polls","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/admin.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/2016\/02\/18\/a_review_of_the_latest_gop_polls\/","title":{"rendered":"A Review of the Latest GOP Polls"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"Listen<\/a><\/p>\n

RUSH: Let\u2019s get a quick poll review here. First… NBC\/Wall Street Journal. Ted Cruz 28, Donald Trump 26. That\u2019s a national poll, not South Carolina-specific, but the poll was taken after the Saturday night debate. Cruz 28, Trump 26, Rubio 17, Kasich 11, Ben Carson 10%, Jeb Bush at 4%. The sample, 400 likely voters. Most polls like this are using a sample of 500 likely voters. But that\u2019s not the way to attack this. It\u2019s an outlier. And by that I mean it\u2019s the only poll that says this. It\u2019s the only poll of all polls and all the iterations of the polls, this is the first of this poll and the only poll among all of them that says this.<\/p>\n

So people are saying, “Wait a minute. Did the NBC\/Wall Street Journal polling unit,” which is Bill McInturff on the Republican side, “did they happen to really catch the beginning of a wave here? Is it really not an outlier? Is this really true? Is it gonna be confirmed with polls released later in the week? Did they happen to be polling at just the right time to get an accurate representative sample of people in their reaction to the Saturday night debate in South Carolina?”<\/p>\n

The other way of going at this is, if you want to believe — and a lot of people do — if you want to believe the NBC\/Wall Street Journal poll is right, then you have to believe that all of the others are wrong, including Quinnipiac, including Bloomberg, including Reuters, including Public Policy Polling, including Fox News, all have polls out in the last couple of days. You have to believe that all of those polls are wrong, because all of those polls still have Trump at 32 to 35 to 36. And it\u2019s true, you could accurately say that Trump is not consolidating. We\u2019ve had two candidates leave the race. Chris Christie got out. Carly Fiorina got out.<\/line><\/p>\n

Now, admittedly we\u2019re not dealing with large numbers of voters here in those cases, but Trump\u2019s support has apparently not grown. And so analysts are happily pointing out, establishment analysts are happily pointing out, “Hey, hey, Trump\u2019s not getting any of these votes from people that have gotten out of the race. None of Carly Fiorina\u2019s supporters are going to Trump. It doesn\u2019t look like Christie\u2019s are. They\u2019re going elsewhere. They\u2019re going Cruz, Rubio.”<\/p>\n

So the establishment\u2019s holding out hope here that, if they can just get some people to drop out and make this either Cruz versus Trump or Rubio versus Trump, then Cruz or Rubio could consolidate and get all these other votes, say from Jeb and Kasich and Carson and Rubio or Cruz, depending on which one drops out, then they would be beating Trump. That\u2019s what they\u2019re desperately hoping for, except it isn\u2019t gonna happen any time soon. Kasich isn\u2019t gonna get out and Rubio isn\u2019t gonna get out.<\/line><\/p>\n

Rubio just got the endorsement from Nikki Haley. That\u2019s another thing. That destroyed Jeb Bush. You could see it in his face. It just destroyed him, and it disappointed Cruz a little bit, too. And when you look at one angle, Sarah Palin, if it weren\u2019t for Sarah Palin, Nikki Haley might not be where she is right now, and Palin of course is in the Trump camp. But Nikki Haley is GOP. The GOP establishment wants Rubio, and so that\u2019s where she went. It\u2019s predictable. I don\u2019t think there was any question that that was gonna happen. There was a lot of hope, but there shouldn\u2019t have been any question.<\/p>\n

She was never gonna endorse Cruz, and she\u2019s not gonna endorse Trump. She used her response to the State of the Union to go out and hammer Trump, so you know she wasn\u2019t gonna endorse Trump, and she wasn\u2019t gonna endorse Cruz. She\u2019s an elected Republican governor. There aren\u2019t any mavericks in that group of people. They\u2019re gonna stick with the party. If they don\u2019t, they are putting giant roadblocks in their political future. You become a Republican governor, a high-ranking Republican official, senator, member of the House, you pretty much go with the party. Not in all cases obviously. There is the Tea Party. There is the Conservative Caucus in the House, but people we\u2019re talking about here, they\u2019re gonna do what the party leaders want.<\/p>\n

There was no question Nikki Haley was not gonna endorse Trump, and I never thought she was gonna endorse Cruz. To me, it was always a question of Jeb versus Rubio. Then you have to figure there\u2019s no way, I don\u2019t think, she was gonna endorse Jeb because why endorse somebody\u2019s at four points and hasn\u2019t shown the ability to get much higher than that? Nikki Haley\u2019s endorsement\u2019s not gonna save anybody. She couldn\u2019t save Jeb. It\u2019s even questionable whether these kind of endorsements help.<\/line><\/p>\n

But Rubio is running with it. You know what Rubio\u2019s benefiting from right now? This is a fascinating thing, the way these things all work out. Rubio has yet to win a state, but you wouldn\u2019t know it by watching the coverage. You would not know that Rubio hasn\u2019t won a state. You could — if you\u2019re a columnist, if you\u2019re a conservative blogger — even headline a post, “Isn\u2019t it About Time Rubio Started to Win a State?” to go along with everything going on. (interruption) No, I\u2019m not being critical. Can I not analyze things without people thinking I\u2019m jumping down somebody\u2019s throat?<\/p>\n

(interruption) Well, but it happens to be true. I said the same thing once about Michelle Wie, the golfer. (interruption) Well, I did. I caught hell from the young 18- to 24-year-old male golf fan community. She was getting coverage like she\u2019d won the US Open a couple times. It was after a round at the Bob Hope Chrysler Classic, and somebody ambushed me. Some TV clown shows up after a six-hour round. I\u2019m trundling off the course, a guy jams a microphone and camera in my face and shouts, “What do you think about Michelle Wie?”<\/p>\n

I said, “Isn\u2019t it time she started winning a tournament?”<\/p>\n

Pshew! That\u2019s all it took. I ended up having to call the family and apologize. It wasn\u2019t an attack. I\u2019m a media analyst, and I am fascinated by how media covers things and what that makes happen, what that makes possible. Anyhow, Bloomberg poll, Fox — I don\u2019t care where you look outside of NBC\/Wall Street Journal — You\u2019ve got Trump doubling his next competitor, either Cruz, either Rubio. Now the pope entering the fray here claiming Trump\u2019s not a Christian, throws an entirely new — not a wrench, but it adds a new… Well, that\u2019s a little miniature explosion that people are gonna be running from or talking about. So we will, too.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

RUSH: Let\u2019s get a quick poll review here. First… NBC\/Wall Street Journal. Ted Cruz 28, Donald Trump 26. That\u2019s a national poll, not South Carolina-specific, but the poll was taken after the Saturday night debate. Cruz 28, Trump 26, Rubio 17, Kasich 11, Ben Carson 10%, Jeb Bush at 4%. The sample, 400 likely voters. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","ngg_post_thumbnail":0},"categories":[],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"\nA Review of the Latest GOP Polls - The Rush Limbaugh Show<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/live-rush-limbaugh.pantheonsite.io\/daily\/2016\/02\/18\/a_review_of_the_latest_gop_polls\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"A Review of the Latest GOP Polls - The Rush Limbaugh Show\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"RUSH: Let\u2019s get a quick poll review here. First… NBC\/Wall Street Journal. Ted Cruz 28, Donald Trump 26. 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