{"id":312645,"date":"2019-06-18T16:08:00","date_gmt":"2019-06-18T20:08:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/admin.rushlimbaugh.com\/?p=312645"},"modified":"2019-06-19T15:54:05","modified_gmt":"2019-06-19T19:54:05","slug":"how-to-rig-polls-through-oversampling","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/admin.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/2019\/06\/18\/how-to-rig-polls-through-oversampling\/","title":{"rendered":"How to Rig Polls Through Oversampling"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>RUSH: I\u2019m holding here in my formerly nicotine-stained fingers a story on how pollsters manipulate polls. How do you manufacture a lead for your chosen candidate? How do you do this? And it\u2019s very crucial to do it. You publish a poll that shows your guy up with a 10- or 12-point lead. It can be dispiriting to your opponents\u2019 voters. It can be dispiriting to your opponent. And it can chill, it can chill enthusiasm.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Oh, my God. My guy\u2019s down 12. Aw, jeez. All is lost. Ah.&#8221; And that\u2019s how it works. How do you do it? Hey, this is no great secret. It\u2019s just an admission. This story is from 2016 and it was about John Podesta, how <a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/news\/2016-10-23\/new-podesta-email-exposes-dem-playbook-rigging-polls-through-oversamples\">New Podesta Email Exposes Playbook For Rigging Polls Through &#8220;Oversamples&#8221;<\/a>. It\u2019s October of 2016 at Zero Hedge.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/news\/2016-10-23\/new-podesta-email-exposes-dem-playbook-rigging-polls-through-oversamples\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-312686 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rushlimbaugh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/APP-Tear-Away-Zero-Hedge-061819.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.rushlimbaugh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/APP-Tear-Away-Zero-Hedge-061819.jpg 640w, https:\/\/www.rushlimbaugh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/APP-Tear-Away-Zero-Hedge-061819-300x169.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>And, by the way, I have people, &#8220;Hey, Rush, did you see what Tyler Durden said?\u201d Tyler Durden is the name associated here. There is no Tyler Durden. It\u2019s a made up name so nobody knows who the guy is. So is the picture next to it. He looks like a geek. Don\u2019t know who he is but there is no Tyler Durden. Just a little information. Could be worthless or worth something to you regardless.<\/p>\n<p>This is from 2016: \u201cEarlier this morning we wrote about the obvious sampling bias in the latest ABC \/ Washington Post poll that showed a 12-point national advantage for Hillary. Like many of the recent polls from Reuters, ABC and The Washington Post, this latest poll included a 9-point sampling bias toward registered Democrats.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>And if you read the ABC News poll sampling and methodology note, it says, \u201cThis ABC News poll was conducted by landline and cellular telephone Oct. 20-22, 2016, in English and Spanish, among a random national sample of 874 likely voters. Results have a margin of sampling error of 3.5 points, including the design effect. Partisan divisions are 36-27-31 percent, Democrats &#8211; Republicans &#8211; Independents.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Bingo! You have a phony sample. And we know that these are constant. How many times have you seen a poll, it looks bad for whoever you\u2019re believing in or whatever you\u2019re believing in, and then in a couple of days or maybe later the same day, wait a minute, we just went to the crosstabs here and we just analyzed it and look at the oversampling of Democrats.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-287657\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rushlimbaugh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/APP-100918-Explained-By-Rush.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.rushlimbaugh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/APP-100918-Explained-By-Rush.jpg 640w, https:\/\/www.rushlimbaugh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/APP-100918-Explained-By-Rush-300x169.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s a common trick. And the newsworthiness of this story at Zero Hedge was that there was a John Podesta email detailing how to do it and what the advantages of it were. I\u2019s not detailing how to do it. It\u2019s easy to do. You just talk to more Democrats than Republicans. And you make sure your Republican sample is much less than &#8212; Twenty-seven percent of any random voter sample Republican versus 36% randomly gonna be Democrat?<\/p>\n<p>And this is a common &#8212; it\u2019s especially used in polls this far out all the way up to three months out. That\u2019s why it\u2019s another reason to just ignore these things, especially if you\u2019re able to dig in and look at the sample. If you find out it\u2019s vastly overweighted for Democrats, you know exactly what\u2019s going on here. It is a poll designed to make news, to dispirit, depress, and make despondent Republicans and their candidates.<\/p>\n<p>BREAK TRANSCRIPT<\/p>\n<p>RUSH: I\u2019m told that the name Tyler Durden is the character name for Brad Pitt in a movie called Fight Club, which I never saw. Did you see Fight Club? I\u2019ve never seen Fight Club. All I know is that there\u2019s no Tyler Durden at Zero Hedge.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>RUSH: I&#039;m holding here in my formerly nicotine-stained fingers a story on how pollsters manipulate polls.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":49,"featured_media":287657,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","ngg_post_thumbnail":0},"categories":[12,1],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v17.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>How to Rig Polls Through Oversampling - The Rush Limbaugh Show<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/admin.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/2019\/06\/18\/how-to-rig-polls-through-oversampling\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"How to Rig Polls Through Oversampling - 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