Let me let you hear the media montage. Now, don\u2019t get mad at me for doing this. We\u2019re gonna put this right. We\u2019re gonna bring perspective to it. But I just want you to hear the breathlessness and the excitement of the Drive-By Media reporting the Fox News poll as though it is gospel.<\/p>\n
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RACHEL SCOTT: Trump likely won\u2019t be happy about this latest Fox News poll. It shows Joe Biden with a significant edge on the president. And he\u2019s not the only one. Senator Bernie Sanders, also ahead.<\/p>\n
TRACIE POTTS: A Fox News poll shows him behind five Democrats.<\/p>\n
ANDREA MITCHELL: A new Fox News poll shows the former vice president ahead.<\/p>\n
FREDRICKA WHITFIELD: …currently ten points behind Joe Biden.<\/p>\n
JAKE TAPPER: … a head-to-head match-up: Biden 49%, Trump 39%.<\/p>\n
JOE SCARBOROUGH: Fox News is basically mirroring what your own internal pollsters are saying. Mr. President, you\u2019re losing, you\u2019re losing big.<\/p>\n
CHRISTINE ROMANS: Fox, his favorite television network, the president trailing.<\/p>\n
RON ALLEN: A Fox News poll, his favorite network shows.<\/p>\n
ALEX WITT: A new Fox News poll shows five Democratic candidates ahead.<\/p>\n
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ANA CABRERA: There\u2019s a new Fox News poll that shows President Trump would lose to Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, Kamala Harris and Pete Buttigieg.<\/p>\n
RUSH: You see, folks, they just can\u2019t stop. They go on and on and on. The montage, we could continue to add to it. There\u2019s also a CBS News poll out there that shows Fauxcahontas taking the lead over Crazy Bernie, moving into second place behind Joe Bite Me. The election is how many days away? It\u2019s 500 days away.<\/p>\n
And I will admit, once again, you look at my old buddy Matt Drudge\u2019s page today and you could be forgiven if you were to conclude the election is over. You look at the Drudge page, which is just a compilation of the news today, if you just headline search, you\u2019re gonna get the idea, you will come to the conclusion that the 2020 election is over, just like it was over at this point in 2015 for Hillary Clinton. She had already wrapped it up. It was gonna be in a landslide.<\/p>\n
I\u2019m gonna tell you something else. Donald Trump will trail in the polls until October of 2020. I don\u2019t care who the Democrats nominate. I don\u2019t care what happens with any of the external information, Trump will be trailing in the polls throughout the rest of this year and most of next year.<\/p>\n
But let\u2019s do today what we did then. At the time that he they told us Hillary was gonna win in a landslide — look, these people are not, as I say, innovative or creative, they simply recycle stuff. They recycle stuff from the past, try to adapt the past to the present, add some goodies to it and tell themselves that it\u2019s new!<\/p>\n
So at this point in 2015, slash, 2016, Donald Trump was drawing crowds of 25,000 people or more to rallies. There were as many people outside wanting to get in as people who were inside who had gotten in. Hillary, in the meantime, couldn\u2019t draw flies. She couldn\u2019t draw more than 200 people to a book signing or any other personal appearance.<\/p>\n
And when she did show up at one, she had a big challenge standing up, especially when walking down the steps. She needed three beefy security guys to keep her from falling, walking down the steps. When she was leaving the 9\/11 memorial in September of 2016, she nearly planted her face on the steps of the bus instead of her feet. That made the video.<\/p>\n
But all this time Trump\u2019s rallies are just over the top. There is excitement everywhere. Crowds everywhere. Hillary Clinton\u2019s not even showing up in places because when she does show up, nobody shows up. And the media is telling us that crowd size at campaign rallies is totally irrelevant and that it makes no difference and you cannot make any projection based on crowd size to either enthusiasm or turnout and then ultimately election results.<\/p>\n
So is history repeating itself? Well, at any given Democrat rally, especially Joe Biden\u2019s, they can barely get a hundred people to show up. When Biden showed up in Iowa last week to Ottumwa, Iowa, to eviscerate Trump, the camera was a constant close-up on Plugs because the crowd was tiny. He was standing in the crowd. There was no podium, there was no stage, there was no distance between him and the crowd.<\/p>\n
I don\u2019t know what the consistency is of his crowd sizes, but I know that none of the others are drawing anywhere near Trump, despite all the news we hear (just like in 2016) about how much enthusiasm the Democrats had. “Oh, yeah! First female president! She\u2019s gonna continue the traditions of the first African-American president.” The American people couldn\u2019t wait, the Democrats couldn\u2019t wait — especially against Trump. Everybody hated Trump! They couldn\u2019t wait to say “no” to Trump.<\/p>\n We know what happened. Trump is going to announce his reelection campaign in a rally tomorrow night in Florida. Over 100,000 people are expected (in one way or another) at that rally — inside, outside, numbers of people requesting to get in. They keep track of this stuff. Not everybody who wants to go can get in. They set up satellite viewing outside the venues. Where is this thing, over in Tampa? (interruption) That\u2019s right, Orlando. Disney World. That\u2019s right. It\u2019s over there in Orlando. Anything north of here, it\u2019s all the same to me. Orlando, Tampa, Kissimmee, “Kissayou,” it\u2019s all the same to me.<\/p>\n Okay, it\u2019s Orlando, just a hop skip and a jump from Tampa, with 100,000 people. And the only reason we know this is from Trump\u2019s tweets! Trump is tweeting how many people want to get in, how many people are gonna be there, how many people are gonna be outside. You look at other polling data and 70% of people polled like the economy; they give Trump credit for it. But he\u2019s getting hammered in the polls. Over the weekend, did you see this? They had “Impeach Trump Day” rallies sponsored with a massive amount of money from the lunatic Tom Steyer who ultimately pushes climate change and impeachment.<\/p>\n He\u2019s funding Democrats and demanding that they impeach Trump. This guy\u2019s got a bigger case of Trump hatred than MSNBC\u2019s hosts combined, and he\u2019s paying for all of these Impeach Trump Day rallies. Did you see that they barely topped 50 people anyplace they were held? No! You didn\u2019t see that because they didn\u2019t show you that because that\u2019s not a good optic. That\u2019s not a good photo-op. No more than 50 people showing up for the impeach Trump rallies.<\/p>\n Joe Biden can\u2019t get more than a couple hundred people at his rallies. Trump gets 25,000, 50,000, now 100,000 all told, in and out, in the rally in Orlando. So we once again come to the conclusion the Drive-Bys are kidding themselves again and they\u2019re lying to their viewers about everything, and the polls this far out don\u2019t mean anything anyway because we don\u2019t even know who the Democrat nominee is — and right now, we don\u2019t even know what the issues on the ballot that are gonna really matter determine the election in 2020 are.<\/p>\n We don\u2019t know what the Democrat nominee is gonna say once the Democrat nominee is the nominee. When they get a nominee, “Katie, bar door.” When they start talking about what they\u2019re gonna do, that\u2019s when people are gonna first start hearing it. The Democrat debates are gonna be entertainment value, summertime viewing to, eh, interrupt the humdrum and the doldrums and so forth out there. But it\u2019s not gonna heat up any time soon, except in the media. The media\u2019s gonna make it look like the nation is riveted to the Democrat debates. “The nation is tuned in.<\/p>\n “The nation is 100% connected, because the nation hates Donald Trump and the nation can\u2019t get rid of Donald Trump, and watching Democrat debates is how they discharge all of this Trump hatred and anti-Trump energy.” It\u2019s amazing. It\u2019s amazing how this stuff repeats itself. When you look at the devastation to their psyche that the 2016 election caused, they still haven\u2019t gotten over it. In fact, many of them are still spiraling downward, out of control — and here they\u2019re setting themselves up again for the exact same play, because that\u2019s all they\u2019ve got!<\/p>\n Russian collusion (of which there was none) was Watergate.<\/p>\n By the way, did you know today\u2019s the anniversary of Watergate? I\u2019m pretty sure June 17 is the anniversary of when the plumbers tried to get it. Well, they go get into the DNC headquarters at Watergate, and left evidence of their presence. Remember what the evidence was? Remember what the evidence was? These idiots, you know what they did? They left tape on the locks so the doors wouldn\u2019t lock when they shut them so that the next time they showed up, the doors would not be locked even though the Democrats would think they locked \u2019em.<\/p>\n Well, the Democrats weren\u2019t gonna be back in there \u2019cause it happened over a weekend. So it\u2019s the same thing that sent these people to mass therapy in 2016, and they\u2019re setting themselves up all over again. This is a very, very strange mental illness, to self-inflict psychological pain that is insufferable, intolerant — and then do it again on purpose. Which is what we see here. They\u2019re lying to themselves again. Here we are on June 17th, 2019, and the election\u2019s over.<\/p>\n And Donald Trump has lost — and the Democrats don\u2019t even know what the winner is, because they haven\u2019t even chosen a nominee, and yet the election is over. Trump doesn\u2019t have a prayer. Audio sound bite number 2, Anthony Salvanto, CBS pollster. He was on CBS This Morning today. Question: “I think we should let people know what a Battleground Tracker poll is. This is no small thing.”<\/p>\n SALVANTO: No! Look, it promises to be a big election. So we figured we had to go big with the polling. But what it really means is talking to as many people as possible, in all the places that the campaigns are going to go. This map is much bigger than Iowa. They\u2019re going to go to California, to Texas, to Georgia — of course, New Hampshire — South Carolina. So we\u2019ve gotta cover that as well which means big samples sizes, lots of interviews and find out what people want to hear.<\/p>\n RUSH: So the CBS News pollster says that they\u2019re gonna go big. They\u2019re gonna go big on polling. They\u2019re gonna talk to as many people as they possibly can. But they\u2019re not gonna be trying to reflect opinion. This is the thing that you must keep in mind. They\u2019re gonna be trying to shape it. Remember what polling data is used for. It\u2019s used, A, to shape public opinion. And, B, to suffice as a news story. A poll is the easiest and laziest way for Drive-By Media to create what you might call bombshell news.<\/p>\n Is it not bombshell news that Donald Trump has lost the election?<\/p>\n Damn right it is!<\/p>\n Is it not bombshell news that the Democrats have beaten Trump now in 2020 because Trump trails in every poll 500 away from the election?<\/p>\n Damn right it is! That\u2019s blockbuster news; so it\u2019s gonna get treated as such. Here\u2019s Kayleigh McEnany on Fox & Friends today. She\u2019s from the Republican National Committee. And Steve Doocy said to her, “These leaked polls from the Trump campaign, Trump internal polling, they were accurate, you\u2019re saying, but they were from three months ago. So they weren\u2019t fake news. They were old news? Is that right?”<\/p>\n MCENANY: They were old news, and they were the most unfavorable turnout model. We have to predict who\u2019s going to turn out. So this is the most pro-Democratic turnout model you could see; so it\u2019s understandable that that polling would look that way. But when you look at the real polling, the most accurate polling — define Democrats — the president is leading in all 17 swing states, as he noted.<\/p>\n RUSH: All right. Now, I guess we\u2019re just gonna have to include that Trump and Kayleigh McEnany are lying, because the news media says that Trump has lost. He\u2019s losing to everybody. I mean, it\u2019s almost overwhelmingly impossible for him to come back from these kind of deficits: 10 points here, 12 points there, 15 points some candidate somewhere. Kayleigh McEnany says, “No, that poll… Yeah, we were behind, we ran a series of polls of different turnout model.” Oh. Who would somebody do that?<\/p>\n Well, you run various polls with various turnout models to find out what you need to do to avoid that. So if you run a poll showing lousy Trump turnout, you get the result that you get and, okay, you know to avoid that. “Well, Rush, everybody wants high turnout.” Yeah, but these are done with scientific reasons and intentions — and in the 17 battleground states, the real polling that they\u2019re conducting now (not models, but the real polling) shows them leading in all 17 states.<\/p>\n One more before the break. Harry Enten over on CNN this morning was asked the question: “It\u2019s a long way from the actual vote, but historically when you see margins like in the new Fox poll at this point in the race, are they indicative of how things end up?”<\/p>\n ENTEN: I should point out if we go back since 2000, what we generally see is that national polls at this point are actually not all that predictive. We still have a year and a half to go until the election. For instance, Hillary Clinton was up by nearly 20 points at this point. Uh, you take a look at where George W. Bush was in 2000. He was up double digits — and, of course, Algore actually won that popular vote. Again, we see it to the screen right now. The average difference 11 points between where the national polls are at this particular point and where the popular vote still ended up. So it\u2019s still very early.<\/p>\n RUSH: Not. That. Predictive. “…actually not all that predictive.” Some of the examples I gave you last week, polling data this time in various campaigns where the eventual winner was down anywhere from seven to 11 points. It\u2019s common. There\u2019s nothing unusual about this, and it doesn\u2019t tell us a thing. Just get ready, because Trump is going to be trailing in polls from now through October of 2020. Just get used to it.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" RUSH: I'm gonna tell you something else. Donald Trump will trail in the polls until October of 2020. I don't care who the Democrats nominate.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":49,"featured_media":312472,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","ngg_post_thumbnail":0},"categories":[12,1],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"\n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/www.rushlimbaugh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/APP-Fox-News-Tearaway-061719.jpg\")
<\/a>They had to put him in the crowd so that the camera shots looked crowded so that that could convey the image of a crowd. The closest any enthusiasm is on the Democrat side is a Crazy Bernie rally, and CBS claims that Crazy Bernie is having the bottom drop out of his campaign<\/a> now that Fauxcahontas has pulled ahead. And it isn\u2019t news that Crazy Bernie is losing support in the polling data.<\/p>\n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/www.rushlimbaugh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/APP-061719-Poll-CNN.jpg\")
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