{"id":308322,"date":"2019-05-06T16:09:00","date_gmt":"2019-05-06T20:09:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/admin.rushlimbaugh.com\/?p=308322"},"modified":"2019-05-06T16:34:42","modified_gmt":"2019-05-06T20:34:42","slug":"polling-data-right-now-is-meaningless","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/admin.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/2019\/05\/06\/polling-data-right-now-is-meaningless\/","title":{"rendered":"Polling Data Right Now Is Meaningless"},"content":{"rendered":"

RUSH One more polling story here. This is Gallup. Not insignificant. And Gallup says that Trump\u2019s approval rating right now has ticked up to a new high in their poll of 46 percent<\/a>. Survey conducted between April 17th and 30th. It\u2019s almost exactly that period following the release of the Mueller report.<\/p>\n

And the interesting thing is that this is identical, maybe one point higher than where Barack Obama was at the same point in his presidency, 46%.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Now, keep in mind that Donald Trump gets 92 to 94% negative — consistently negative throughout — Drive-By Media coverage. And it\u2019s just not negative coverage, it is character assassination. It borders on slander and libel. It directly impugns Trump\u2019s humanity as well as openly lying and being critical about Trump policy.<\/p>\n

On the other hand, Obama had a fawning media. Obama\u2019s media was a bunch of slavish sycophants. Obama could do no wrong. Obama was held up as the brilliant, the brightest, the most erudite, the most sophisticated. And yet Trump is one point more popular in an identical poll, the Gallup poll, at this point in his presidency than Obama was in his regime.<\/p>\n

BREAK TRANSCRIPT<\/p>\n

RUSH: Here is Bradley in Austin. Welcome to the program. Hi.<\/p>\n

CALLER: Hey, Rush. Huge honor, huge honor. Hey, listen. I\u2019ll get to my point. A week ago when crazy Joe announced he was running Fox News had a poll and they had him beating Trump by seven points. Why? I do not understand that. It drives me nuts. You give me peace of mind with these polls, but why is it that Fox News every time has these polls out showing Trump losing to some crazy leftist? I can\u2019t figure it out and I need your help to calm my nerves with it.<\/p>\n

RUSH: Are you asking about Fox specifically or any poll?<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

CALLER: Well, Fox specifically because I don\u2019t understand how they, with our audience, Trump\u2019s — who are they polling? I guess is what my question is.<\/p>\n

RUSH: Well, wait. You have to understand the Fox polling unit is not associated with the Fox ideological identity. The Fox polling unit\u2019s not pro-Trump, anti-Trump. The Fox polling unit is probably closer to the other polling units out there than they are to anything else on Fox. And I don\u2019t doubt their results.<\/p>\n

My problem with a poll like that is it\u2019s utterly meaningless and could be explained in who knows how many ways. I didn\u2019t see the question, but if I saw the question, I could probably tell you why they got the answer they did. And I know that about polling you can get any answer you want, depending on your sample and the question and the way you write the question, the way you present the question. And when you take the poll.<\/p>\n

Okay, so here\u2019s Biden, he\u2019s just announced, so you go out and you find a sample, not crazy about Trump. And you ask them, “In a figurative race between Joe Biden and Donald,” and then Biden wins by seven points, I can make the case for you where it would make sense depending on how the poll was taken and why.<\/p>\n

Your beef is you don\u2019t understand why Fox is presenting that because you think that Fox is aligned with Trump, and their polling unit is not, or at least — well, I\u2019ll just tell you it\u2019s not. Their polling unit is not. Their polling unit is as mainstream as anybody else\u2019s polling unit is. And they try to be.<\/p>\n

So you\u2019ve gotta let that stuff go in one ear and out the other. Because we\u2019re, I don\u2019t know, a year and a half way, and it doesn\u2019t mean anything. To prove it, ask yourself to go back to May the 6th of 2015 and see if you can remember who was leading in any poll on that day. And I will guarantee you that you can\u2019t. You\u2019ll have to go look it up.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

And then if you go look it up, if you Google it or some other way find out what polling data said on May 6, 2015, it\u2019s gonna be nowhere near what the final election results were. Do you know why? Because no poll was. Rasmussen\u2019s the only bunch that got it right. Everybody else had Hillary winning in a landslide, or maybe not quite a landslide. But every poll had her winning, and some of them had her in a landslide, and they never had her trailing.<\/p>\n

And yet look at what happened. So polls are used to make news, not reflect it. They\u2019re used to create public opinion, not reflect it. So a poll from Fox that shows Biden up seven is designed to frighten the Trump audience that watches Fox, “Oh, my God! Oh my God!” and if they get frightened, they tend to stay tuned more and they\u2019ll hope that that gets better. A lot of psychology goes into this stuff. But the main thing is, ignore it.<\/p>\n

I mean, it\u2019s not even Fox trying to sabotage Trump right now. That\u2019s not what it is. I think… You know, people talk about we spend too much time on our screens, on the phones. Even Madonna. Did you hear this? Madonna said the worst thing she did was to give her kids their own phones at age 13. Do you know why? She said because she lost her relationship with them for the most part, that the phones became everything, and that they were inundated with imagery.<\/p>\n

(Snort!) From a woman whose career was made of imagery, she is worried about her 13-year-old. Okay. If you happen to subscribe to the theory that there\u2019s too much time spent watching screens and being immersed in technology, I would tell you the same thing on polling data. There is way too much of it. I\u2019ve thought this for I can\u2019t tell you how long, and you know what? This polling data stuff is bible to inside-the-Beltway political aficionados. It\u2019s bible.<\/p>\n

It\u2019s the number one news that tells them what\u2019s going on. They live by it; they die by it; they believe it hook, line, and sinker. And it\u2019s used constantly. And I\u2019m telling you, polling data right now is worth maybe some things (like fundraising or creating public opinion), but it doesn\u2019t tell you a thing about the future because there isn\u2019t anybody who knows. So you have to absorb this stuff with the right perspective.<\/p>\n

BREAK TRANSCRIPT<\/p>\n

RUSH: So I went and looked at the polling data on the Republican side on May 6, 2015. Take a guess who was leading the Republican presidential nomination in polling on May 6, 2015? It was Marco Rubio. In second place was “Jeb!” (exclamation point) Donald Trump was not even in the race. Donald Trump would not come down the Trump Tower escalator for about five weeks, maybe six weeks. That\u2019s May 6, 2015.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Utterly useless, utterly irrelevant, and yet people were paying for it and the news networks were promoting it, and news consumers were out there supposedly consuming it. And it was literally meaningless, as it is now. Now, a poll of the Democrat presidential contenders at this stage is not useless. But a poll of any of those Democrats up against Donald Trump is useless because we don\u2019t even have the Democrat nominee yet.<\/p>\n

Here\u2019s Patty, Patty in New Berlin, Illinois. Great to have you on the EIB Network. Hello.<\/p>\n

CALLER: Hi, Rush. I was calling… I read an article — it was either Friday night or Saturday — and this journalist said he had been to candidate Trump\u2019s rally, one of them, and he said the crowd sizes were really big. So he decided he\u2019d go to a President Trump rally, and he went to the one in Wisconsin — I think it was Madison — and he said he could not believe the crowd sizes. He said they were larger than candidate Trump\u2019s crowd size. He also said he spoke to the people. He said they were very focused, intelligent. He said none of \u2019em were looking down at their iPhones or whatever phone they had. They weren\u2019t communicating. They were totally focused and answering the questions.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

RUSH: I think that was Green Bay, Patty.<\/p>\n

CALLER: That\u2019s right.<\/p>\n

RUSH: Yeah, it wasn\u2019t Madison. It was Green Bay. He went there on a Saturday when the White House Correspondents\u2019 Association Dinner was being held in Washington, which he boycotted again for the third year.<\/p>\n

BREAK TRANSCRIPT<\/p>\n

RUSH: It was 2015, 2015 that Trump was not in the race yet, that Marco Rubio was in first place and Jeb! was in second place. At this point in time in 2016, Trump was the presumptive nominee. But we\u2019re still a year and a half out. So a year and a half out, Marco Rubio was in first place, Jeb! was in second, and Trump had not even announced.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

RUSH: Take a guess who was leading the Republican presidential nomination in polling on May 15, 2015? 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