{"id":30707,"date":"2008-10-23T01:01:01","date_gmt":"2011-05-19T03:10:36","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2011-05-19T03:10:36","modified_gmt":"2011-05-19T03:10:36","slug":"some_thoughts_about_the_polls","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/admin.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/2008\/10\/23\/some_thoughts_about_the_polls\/","title":{"rendered":"Some Thoughts About the Polls"},"content":{"rendered":"<section>\n<p>RUSH: I have also been thinking about all of these polls. You know, they\u2019re all over the place. AP one point, IBD\/TIPP at 3.7, CBS\/New York Times at 13, NBC\/Wall Street Journal Obama 80-20, they\u2019re just all over the place. And here\u2019s what I think happens. I think that these polls all start off by asking people if they identify themselves as a Democrat or a Republican or an independent, and the Democrats right now have about a ten-point lead over Republicans in self-identification because Republicans are tired of Bush, and they\u2019ve forgotten about the war. When a pollster comes along who, as much stigma as there has been attached to being a Republican, I think a lot of people are telling pollsters they\u2019re Democrats when they\u2019re not, just like they lie to pollsters sometimes when they call \u2019em on the phone. This changes when there\u2019s a popular Republican president of course, but what happens here is if the pollsters have a sample, 10% greater Democrat than Republican, then they\u2019re going to overweight their poll, they\u2019re going to go out and get seven to 10% more Democrats in the sample. <\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/live-rush-limbaugh.pantheonsite.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/01125113.Par.89380.ImageFile.jpg\" width=\"300\" height=\"196\" class=\"alignright\"\/>Now, this makes a crucial assumption. The crucial assumption they\u2019re making is that there are no Reagan Democrats in this election, that a Democrat is a Democrat down the line and voting for Obama. So they\u2019re assuming that there are no Reagan Democrats. Reagan Democrats may have no intention of voting for Barack Obama, and we\u2019ve heard Democrats warn of this, Fast Eddie Rendell, (paraphrasing) &#8216;Some of these people in Pennsylvania are not going to vote for black people.\u2019 We\u2019ve had Jack Murtha say, (paraphrasing) &#8216;People in my district are racists and they\u2019re rednecks.\u2019 And we\u2019ve had all these stories, they\u2019re not out there now, but two weeks ago we had almost every day for five days, Washington Post, New York Times story on all the concern the Democrats had over Democrats who might not vote Obama. So I think what\u2019s happening here is these polls are not accounting for those Democrats even though they\u2019re doing stories on them, those Reagan Democrats and others. <\/p>\n<p>Now, I\u2019ve looked at the internals of some polls who suggest, some of these polls, I\u2019m not going to name them, but seven to 12% Democrats aren\u2019t going to vote for Obama. Seven to 12% of Democrats aren\u2019t going to vote for Obama in a couple of polls, and I said, &#8216;I don\u2019t know whether I believe this or not.\u2019 But that\u2019s what some of these polls are saying. But some Democrats won\u2019t. That is the question that we need to answer if we want to put any real stock in these polls. The real question we need to answer is how big is the group of Democrats who will not vote Obama? And are they being measured accurately? See, I don\u2019t think they are. I think the pollsters are assuming that every Democrat is going to vote Obama. <\/p>\n<p>I don\u2019t think they look at it as Reagan Democrats, because there\u2019s no Reagan, and there\u2019s no Republican conservative figure out there to attract these people, in the pollsters\u2019 minds. They seem to be tipping too fast with too big a lead to Obama, and Obama\u2019s behavior does not reflect somebody who\u2019s got this thing battened down in a landslide, he\u2019s not behaving that way. He\u2019s going back to a 30-year-old playbook page about McCain is going to cut Medicare, lying in an ad about it, McCain is going to cut Social Security. Like I told you the last couple days, folks, I think this election is close, and they\u2019re doing everything they can to depress Republican turnout, suppress it and depress it. And now there\u2019s another story today about Sarah Palin dragging down McCain because of these clothing expenditures. Two days in a row we\u2019ve had polling stories: Palin\u2019s a bigger drag on McCain than Bush is. That\u2019s palpable BS. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>RUSH: I have also been thinking about all of these polls. You know, they\u2019re all over the place. AP one point, IBD\/TIPP at 3.7, CBS\/New York Times at 13, NBC\/Wall Street Journal Obama 80-20, they\u2019re just all over the place. And here\u2019s what I think happens. I think that these polls all start off by [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":25,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","ngg_post_thumbnail":0},"categories":[],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v17.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Some Thoughts About the Polls - The Rush Limbaugh Show<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/admin.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/2008\/10\/23\/some_thoughts_about_the_polls\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Some Thoughts About the Polls - The Rush Limbaugh Show\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"RUSH: I have also been thinking about all of these polls. You know, they\u2019re all over the place. AP one point, IBD\/TIPP at 3.7, CBS\/New York Times at 13, NBC\/Wall Street Journal Obama 80-20, they\u2019re just all over the place. And here\u2019s what I think happens. I think that these polls all start off by [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"https:\/\/live-rush-limbaugh.pantheonsite.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/01125113.Par.89380.ImageFile.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/live-rush-limbaugh.pantheonsite.io\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/live-rush-limbaugh.pantheonsite.io\/\",\"name\":\"The Rush Limbaugh Show\",\"description\":\"Excellence In Broadcasting\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/live-rush-limbaugh.pantheonsite.io\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/admin.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/2008\/10\/23\/some_thoughts_about_the_polls\/#primaryimage\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/live-rush-limbaugh.pantheonsite.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/01125113.Par.89380.ImageFile.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/live-rush-limbaugh.pantheonsite.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/01125113.Par.89380.ImageFile.jpg\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/admin.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/2008\/10\/23\/some_thoughts_about_the_polls\/#webpage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/admin.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/2008\/10\/23\/some_thoughts_about_the_polls\/\",\"name\":\"Some Thoughts About the Polls - The Rush Limbaugh Show\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/live-rush-limbaugh.pantheonsite.io\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/admin.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/2008\/10\/23\/some_thoughts_about_the_polls\/#primaryimage\"},\"datePublished\":\"2011-05-19T03:10:36+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2011-05-19T03:10:36+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/live-rush-limbaugh.pantheonsite.io\/#\/schema\/person\/911066e449df26406b107ca78cbbde0b\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/admin.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/2008\/10\/23\/some_thoughts_about_the_polls\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/admin.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/2008\/10\/23\/some_thoughts_about_the_polls\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/admin.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/2008\/10\/23\/some_thoughts_about_the_polls\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/live-rush-limbaugh.pantheonsite.io\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Some Thoughts About the Polls\"}]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/live-rush-limbaugh.pantheonsite.io\/#\/schema\/person\/911066e449df26406b107ca78cbbde0b\",\"name\":\"admin\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/live-rush-limbaugh.pantheonsite.io\/#personlogo\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/f18195e0073013fa0e16b040686c2924?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/f18195e0073013fa0e16b040686c2924?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"admin\"},\"url\":\"https:\/\/admin.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/author\/admin\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Some Thoughts About the Polls - The Rush Limbaugh Show","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/admin.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/2008\/10\/23\/some_thoughts_about_the_polls\/","twitter_card":"summary","twitter_title":"Some Thoughts About the Polls - The Rush Limbaugh Show","twitter_description":"RUSH: I have also been thinking about all of these polls. You know, they\u2019re all over the place. AP one point, IBD\/TIPP at 3.7, CBS\/New York Times at 13, NBC\/Wall Street Journal Obama 80-20, they\u2019re just all over the place. And here\u2019s what I think happens. I think that these polls all start off by [&hellip;]","twitter_image":"https:\/\/live-rush-limbaugh.pantheonsite.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/01125113.Par.89380.ImageFile.jpg","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"admin","Est. reading time":"3 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/live-rush-limbaugh.pantheonsite.io\/#website","url":"https:\/\/live-rush-limbaugh.pantheonsite.io\/","name":"The Rush Limbaugh Show","description":"Excellence In Broadcasting","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/live-rush-limbaugh.pantheonsite.io\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"ImageObject","@id":"https:\/\/admin.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/2008\/10\/23\/some_thoughts_about_the_polls\/#primaryimage","inLanguage":"en-US","url":"https:\/\/live-rush-limbaugh.pantheonsite.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/01125113.Par.89380.ImageFile.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/live-rush-limbaugh.pantheonsite.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/01125113.Par.89380.ImageFile.jpg"},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/admin.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/2008\/10\/23\/some_thoughts_about_the_polls\/#webpage","url":"https:\/\/admin.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/2008\/10\/23\/some_thoughts_about_the_polls\/","name":"Some Thoughts About the Polls - The Rush Limbaugh Show","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/live-rush-limbaugh.pantheonsite.io\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/admin.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/2008\/10\/23\/some_thoughts_about_the_polls\/#primaryimage"},"datePublished":"2011-05-19T03:10:36+00:00","dateModified":"2011-05-19T03:10:36+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/live-rush-limbaugh.pantheonsite.io\/#\/schema\/person\/911066e449df26406b107ca78cbbde0b"},"breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/admin.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/2008\/10\/23\/some_thoughts_about_the_polls\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/admin.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/2008\/10\/23\/some_thoughts_about_the_polls\/"]}]},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/admin.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/2008\/10\/23\/some_thoughts_about_the_polls\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/live-rush-limbaugh.pantheonsite.io\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Some Thoughts About the Polls"}]},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/live-rush-limbaugh.pantheonsite.io\/#\/schema\/person\/911066e449df26406b107ca78cbbde0b","name":"admin","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","@id":"https:\/\/live-rush-limbaugh.pantheonsite.io\/#personlogo","inLanguage":"en-US","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/f18195e0073013fa0e16b040686c2924?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/f18195e0073013fa0e16b040686c2924?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"admin"},"url":"https:\/\/admin.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/author\/admin\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/admin.rushlimbaugh.com\/api\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30707"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/admin.rushlimbaugh.com\/api\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/admin.rushlimbaugh.com\/api\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/admin.rushlimbaugh.com\/api\/wp\/v2\/users\/25"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/admin.rushlimbaugh.com\/api\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30707"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/admin.rushlimbaugh.com\/api\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30707\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/admin.rushlimbaugh.com\/api\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30707"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/admin.rushlimbaugh.com\/api\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30707"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/admin.rushlimbaugh.com\/api\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30707"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}