{"id":290390,"date":"2018-10-30T16:15:00","date_gmt":"2018-10-30T20:15:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/admin.rushlimbaugh.com\/?p=290390"},"modified":"2018-10-31T16:36:00","modified_gmt":"2018-10-31T20:36:00","slug":"where-we-stand-one-week-out","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/admin.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/2018\/10\/30\/where-we-stand-one-week-out\/","title":{"rendered":"Where We Stand One Week Out"},"content":{"rendered":"

RUSH: We are one week away from the election, and what do you think is gonna happen? I went to an event out there last night. I\u2019ve not been going to too many events, but I went to an event last night, and I can\u2019t tell you the number of people I ran into… These are donors. I went to a donor event. A bunch of people said, “I think there\u2019s gonna be a red wave like you can\u2019t believe!” I tried a test on \u2019em.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Rather than join them in their enthusiasm, I tried to talk \u2019em down a little bit. I just wanted to test whether they were being emotional or whether they actually thought it out. So I ran into, “It\u2019s gonna be a red wave. It\u2019s gonna be big! It\u2019s gonna shock everybody. People are gonna be stunned just like they were two years ago.” I said, “Okay. Well, I hope you\u2019re right, but let me give you some facts on the ground.”<\/p>\n

BREAK TRANSCRIPT<\/p>\n

RUSH: So I ran into these people at the event last night. “It\u2019s gonna be a red wave, Rush! I listen to you every day, and I\u2019m telling you, it\u2019s gonna be a red wave.” I said, “I hope you\u2019re right, but let me tell you what we\u2019re up against. Forty-five Republicans have announced their resignations. Forty-five! I mean, that is a huge number. Many of them are committee chairmen. Not all, but many of them are committee chairmen and they are resigning or retiring because they don\u2019t want to go back to being chumps — you know, just regular House members.<\/p>\n

“It\u2019s a big come-down; so they want to try to parlay their years in the House into private sector success.” I said, “Forty-five seats! Incumbency has incredible power, reelection power.” Snerdley will back me up on this. He\u2019s a student. “The incumbent in House races wins 98% of the time. Well, we\u2019ve got 45 Republicans who are not incumbents. We\u2019ve got 45 Republicans who\u2019ve never run before. Nobody knows them. I mean, in their districts they\u2019re known, but they\u2019re not as known as incumbents are known, not as well known.”<\/p>\n

So that makes some of this somewhat iffy, and then there is the traditional statistical aspect which says that the party that holds the White House in the first midterms after a presidential election always loses seats. So 45 seats vacated, tough to defend. As opposed to if those 45 had not resigned and were still in the House, you could count a lot of those as reelects that you can\u2019t count now as rereelects. This is what the left and the Drive-Bys are counting on, because many of those 45 will flip.<\/p>\n

And then you\u2019ve got contestable races in other parts. The Senate, of course, is another thing. Now, I mentioned this to all these people; they didn\u2019t care. They said they are aware of this. They knew about the resigning members of Congress, retiring members. They didn\u2019t know the number, not all of them did. But their attitude was that it doesn\u2019t matter. It doesn\u2019t matter. The American people are fed up and they are sophisticated, and the people who elected Trump know exactly what\u2019s at stake. They\u2019re not gonna sit home.<\/p>\n

They\u2019re not gonna twiddle their thumbs. They\u2019re not confident. They\u2019re not sitting there thinking the job was done when they went and voted in 2016. It was kind of pleasant to hear. Although there was a lot of emotion in it; I can\u2019t deny that. Now, interestingly, I ran across a piece today at a website called GreatNewsForAmerica.com, and it\u2019s by Dr. Gerard Francis Lameiro, “expert on forecast models.” I\u2019m not familiar with his work, but his headline is, “Red Wave Coming in the House and Senate — My forecast for the 2018 Congressional Elections.<\/a>”<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

He says, “There will be a Conservative Red Wave in the House with 225 — 228 Republicans elected to office and in the Senate with 58 \u2013 60 Republicans elected to office. Let\u2019s look at some of the reasons that went into the forecast,” Dr. Lameiro writes. “As you remember from my book Great News for America…” (laughing) “As you remember from my book Great News for America, the presidential election of 2016 was both an historic and critical presidential election that ushered in a new American Constitutional Era that I called the Conservative Era.<\/p>\n

“Long-range trends as well as short-range trends came together to cause a fundamental shift in each of our two major political parties. In addition, other major changes took place as well. Those were predicted and explained… In addition to lower Democrat Voter Intensity among Democrat voters, Democrats have another major problem. There are movements of Democrat voters that are abandoning their party and voting for Conservatives,” and it\u2019s all being ignored, he says, by the Drive-By Media.<\/p>\n

“Three such movements are: #WalkAway Movement. #RedPill Movement. #GreatAwakening Movement,” and he goes on to describe what these are. (interruption) I am… No, I\u2019m unfamiliar with “RedPill Movement.” But says he\u2019s got “eight new predictions that will happen in the near future. These predictions appear to be happening as we approach” the midterm elections. “[W]e have witnessed a series of Fall surprises, including: September Surprise \u2013 Brett Kavanaugh Hearings. October Surprises: Caravan Crisis. Mail Bombs to Some Democrats. Synogogue [sic] Mass Shooting.<\/p>\n

“[W]e have seen an outstanding economy, tempered by considerable volatility on Wall Street. We have also seen the extreme bias…” That\u2019s another thing. You know what? The consumer confidence numbers are over the top. The Conference Board, consumer confidence numbers are over the top. These numbers are not the kind of numbers you see in an electorate that\u2019s unhappy and angry and looking for radical change.<\/p>\n

At least that has been the case in the past. The question comes down to just how important a factor is the economy in elections of candidates in this climate. The Drive-Bys would like you to believe the economy doesn\u2019t matter a hill of beans, but they always say that when the economy is going great with Republican administrations. The effort to give credit to Obama, the attempt by Obama to take credit for the economy, however, would argue that Democrats and the media think it is a problem.<\/p>\n

There\u2019s talk all over Twitter that Hollywood leftists are promising blood in the streets if Democrats do not win the House. Anyway, back to our prediction here from this doctor, Dr. Gerard Francis Lameiro. “What has been the Impact of these Fall Surprises and Other Events?” This is his personal thinking — and again, these events…<\/p>\n

These “fall surprises,” he calls them; we call them “October Surprises.” The Kavanaugh hearings. That was… We know what that was now. I mean, that was totally trumped up, made-up charges to derail Trump\u2019s Supreme Court nominee along the way toward derailing Trump. We had the October Surprises, the usual… The caravan crisis, mail bombs to some Democrats, synagogue mass shooting. “What has been the Impact of these Fall Surprises and Other Events?<\/p>\n

“While intended to hurt President Trump and keep Republicans from holding the House … all the above surprises and events have worked to enhance the Conservative Red Wave,” according to this guy. “Instead of creating or building a Blue Wave, the Red Wave continues. Republican Voter Intensity exceeds the much heralded … Blue Wave.” By the way, this is… You know what a blue wave would be? We need to properly define it.<\/p>\n

A blue wave would mean the Democrats win everything. They take back the Senate; they take back the House by a large number. If the Democrats win the House by two or three seats, for example, that\u2019s not a blue wave. A blue wave means a massive, massive realignment. And it doesn\u2019t look possible they\u2019re gonna win the Senate. If they don\u2019t win the Senate, there isn\u2019t any blue wave. I\u2019m talking about in reality. Not in terms of media lingo. They\u2019ll call it whatever they want if they emerge victorious.<\/p>\n

But all of these events were designed to cause this blue wave, were designed to create this massive voter intensity and turnout by Democrats. And even now in the early voting, Republican turnout is much larger than Democrat turnout, unheralded. That\u2019s unprecedented. Republicans seldom show up this well in early voting. It\u2019s hard to explain it away. But the conclusion is, “There has been no Blue Wave this year. There has been no Blue Ripple this year.”<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

In fact, you might even say, “[t]here has been no Blue Drip this year. Plus, even some Blue Bubbles are bursting. Recall that Blue Bubbles are areas of Blue support, such as a long-time Blue Congressional District in a major coastal city.” So this guy is of the firm belief that a conservative red wave or Republican red wave is coming and is on the way. Many other people are… I\u2019ve heard some people say, “Rush, look, you\u2019ve gotta be very, very careful. Those 45 Republican retirements? That\u2019s a toss-up.<\/p>\n

“We don\u2019t know how to factor all of that. That\u2019s more retirements in a single year than we are ever used to having to factor in here, and the power of incumbency in those 45 seats has been lost.” I think, by the way, the political professionals are going to be hyping the fact that as things stand now… It\u2019s probably what you\u2019re gonna hear from a lot of places. (impression) “As things stand now, it looks like the Democrats might win the House by two, maybe four seats.”<\/p>\n

That\u2019s gonna be designed to get you to not get lazy and overconfident. Don\u2019t be dispirited by any of that you hear. The evidence that there is no blue wave is the evidence of panic that is prevalent throughout the Drive-By Media, because their efforts to derail Trump have failed. Every one of them, including the big one: Forcing Trump out of office because he supposedly colluded with the Russians. Robert Mueller was supposed to have delivered the goods.<\/p>\n

The special counsel by now was supposed to have cooked Trump. Trump was supposed to be on the way out by now. Do not doubt me. That\u2019s what everybody on the left held out great hope for in the special counsel investigation. Barring an actual report, they have been hoping and praying for a leak that would be indicative that the report does say that Mueller found hard evidence that Trump and Putin cheated and stole the election from the clutches of the Hildebeast.<\/p>\n

But there aren\u2019t even any such leaks. That\u2019s the big one that has blown up. Do not doubt me on this. By now, Mueller was supposed to have delivered the goods. The Drive-By Media was supposed to have delivered the leaks. So now it\u2019s off to Plan B and Plan C and so forth, and that\u2019s why I say that there\u2019s kind of.. It\u2019s obvious panic. It also argues against the fact that they feel confident in a blue wave.<\/p>\n

BREAK TRANSCRIPT<\/p>\n

RUSH: By the way, some of these 45 retiring Republicans — some of them — were RINOs. They\u2019re not at all not total losses. There were a lot of Never Trumpers in there, and that\u2019s one of the reasons they retired. I would be remiss if I didn\u2019t mention this. There were a lot of them. I don\u2019t know about the total number of 45, but a lot of them quit because they were just fed up that Trump won and that Trump was leading the Republican Party and they didn\u2019t want anything to do with it.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Some of them were committee chairmen and decided they weren\u2019t gonna go back to just being regular House bozos. Because it\u2019s such a come-down, you know, to have been a committee chairman; then go back to being just a regular bencher or back bencher. In their place — and this augurs well. In their place, many of the Republican who got the primary nominations to replace these Never Trumpers who are retiring, are Trump supporters. They are Trumpists. So the total number of 45 resigning is not in and of itself a completely negative characteristic.<\/p>\n

The power of incumbency still can\u2019t be denied. It\u2019s an amazing thing. I think it\u2019s still true. House races, in 98% of them, the incumbent wins. Every year — year in, year out — regardless. There might be a year or two where a larger, wider variance than that, but that\u2019s the overall stat. But it could well be that the Never Trumpers that retired knew they had no prayer anyway in their district, and so they, quote-unquote, “took the high road.” They can\u2019t stomach Trump. “Trump\u2019s buffoon. I don\u2019t want to be part of part of it!” So they split the scene and they\u2019re replaced by Trumpists and Trump supporters.<\/p>\n

So that could the end being a net positive.<\/p>\n

When we come back, the Drive-By Media are all over now blaming me. We\u2019re back… First it was the Oklahoma City Bombing, and now me and others in conservative media being blamed for all of the rest of this today.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

RUSH: We are one week away from the election, and what do you think is gonna happen? <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":49,"featured_media":290395,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","ngg_post_thumbnail":0},"categories":[12,1],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"\nWhere We Stand One Week Out - The Rush Limbaugh Show<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/2018\/10\/30\/where-we-stand-one-week-out\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Where We Stand One Week Out - The Rush Limbaugh Show\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"RUSH: We are one week away from the election, and what do you think is gonna happen?\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.rushlimbaugh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/APP-103018-Red-Wave.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"George Prayias\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"11 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/admin.rushlimbaugh.com\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/admin.rushlimbaugh.com\/\",\"name\":\"The Rush Limbaugh Show\",\"description\":\"Excellence In Broadcasting\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/admin.rushlimbaugh.com\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/2018\/10\/30\/where-we-stand-one-week-out\/#primaryimage\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.rushlimbaugh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/APP-103018-Red-Wave.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.rushlimbaugh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/APP-103018-Red-Wave.jpg\",\"width\":640,\"height\":360},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/2018\/10\/30\/where-we-stand-one-week-out\/#webpage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/2018\/10\/30\/where-we-stand-one-week-out\/\",\"name\":\"Where We Stand One Week Out - 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