{"id":283500,"date":"2018-08-29T16:25:00","date_gmt":"2018-08-29T20:25:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/admin.rushlimbaugh.com\/?p=283500"},"modified":"2018-08-30T16:50:15","modified_gmt":"2018-08-30T20:50:15","slug":"what-blue-wave","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/admin.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/2018\/08\/29\/what-blue-wave\/","title":{"rendered":"What Blue Wave?"},"content":{"rendered":"

RUSH: In Florida, in the governor\u2019s primaries yesterday, we had an interesting battle shaping up. Ron DeSantis, who, full disclosure, I know, and I have played a couple rounds of golf with. I call him Governor on the golf course. He doesn\u2019t say, “Don\u2019t say that.” He\u2019ll make a good shot, “Way to go, Governor.” He\u2019s a nice guy. I like him a lot. I\u2019ve met his wife.<\/p>\n

\"\"But, as you know, I don\u2019t endorse during primaries, and I didn\u2019t. But Trump did. Trump did an appearance for DeSantis and Trump heartily endorsed DeSantis. DeSantis was double digits down when Trump starts working for him and DeSantis wins by double digits. Now, who in the Republican Party can do that?<\/p>\n

Now, we\u2019re told that, you know, Trump\u2019s not what he was. People have lost their luster for Trump. You know, all this rigmarole from the left. That people are fed up with Trump, that people wish they could get their vote back, that Trump embarrasses them. You know the drill.<\/p>\n

Except when you look at polling data, 90% of Republicans maintain that they are in total sync with Trump and completely approve of the job he\u2019s doing, 90%. What other Republican could take a fellow Republican double digits down and convert that into a double-digit victory? Could Mitch McConnell do it? Could Paul Ryan do it? Who could do this?<\/p>\n

But the interesting thing, in addition to that, is the turnout: 1,602,000 votes on the Republican side; 1,480,000 on the Democrat sides. I\u2019m trying to do the math in my head here. That\u2019s a significant turnout advantage for the Republicans in a state the Democrats claim that they\u2019re gonna win because the people of Florida are also fed up with Trump.<\/p>\n

This blue wave was supposed to be massively overwhelming the Republicans in turnout, and it didn\u2019t happen. Republican turnout, as I say, 1.6 million; we\u2019ll round the Democrats up to 1.5. So basically, you know, 116,000 votes more on the Republican side than the Democrat side. And in Arizona, another Republican blowout. So 124,000 in Florida. The Republicans outturned the Democrats by 100,000 in the Arizona governor\u2019s race.<\/p>\n

But yet we\u2019ve been hearing about blue wave, blue wave, blue wave ever since last December when the first generic ballot polling data was released. We\u2019ve continued to hear about blue wave. And of course we would because the media is not at all objective and is simply now carrying the agenda of the Democrat Party, I think actually leading it, but that\u2019s neither here nor there.<\/p>\n

So in two states where the Democrats planned on making big bank, where the Democrats planned on turning things around, there was greater Republican turnout than there was Democrat turnout. Now, this is not enough to suggest that there\u2019s gonna be a red wave. I fall back to my standard operating procedure on this, and that is nobody knows what\u2019s gonna happen. But I can tell you one thing that the media is saying that isn\u2019t true.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

The media is relying on age-old formulas which say that the first off-year election after a new president is elected, the president\u2019s party traditionally loses 15 seats. They say the reason for this is that voters in the president\u2019s party lose enthusiasm. They secured the victory for the president in the presidential race, and so the next midterms two years after the presidential election, they\u2019re not nearly as fired up. They\u2019ve become complacent, and they don\u2019t realize the dangers that lie ahead.<\/p>\n

I\u2019m sorry. You gotta throw that formula out with Trump. You have to throw out much of the conventional wisdom and formulaic thinking that has existed inside the Washington establishment for years. The Trump voter is not complacent. Trump voters are not sitting at home fat, dumb, and happy thinking that the contests are over, that their work is done. They are far more sophisticated than that.<\/p>\n

Not only that, the Drive-By Media each and every day keeps the Republican base fired up, motivated, inspired, and even angry, far more than they know.<\/p>\n

You know, the subject of media bias is often discussed. And you\u2019ve heard the leftists and the media say, “We\u2019re not biased.” In a psychological sense, people who are biased may actually not know it. And I find people on the left, particularly the higher up you go in the food chain on the left, the more ignorant they are about people not like them. They don\u2019t socialize with them. They make no effort to understand them. They never come in contact with people who are not like them.<\/p>\n

So what do they think of people not like them? That\u2019s where the bias is. They think that they\u2019re whatever they think they are. And then they attach their formulas to it. And so the media and the Democrat Party firmly believe that Trump\u2019s voters are a bunch of idiots because conservative voters are idiots. Trump voters are even bigger idiots because who could not be an idiot to vote for Trump? They\u2019ve never taken the time to learn who Trump voters are; they\u2019ve never spent any time with them; they\u2019re not curious; they don\u2019t care.<\/p>\n

And that\u2019s the bias. They attach all these old formulas, and they continue to apply conventional inside-the-Beltway wisdom to an outsider candidate and campaign the likes of which they still don\u2019t understand and still resent.<\/p>\n

So I\u2019m here to tell you that the primary foundational belief of their formula that the blue wave is gonna happen, the fact that they are more motivated and more inspired, Democrat voters, and that Republican voters, Trump voters don\u2019t realize the importance of the election or they\u2019re not inspired \u2019cause they already won two years ago, not true.<\/p>\n

I think the Drive-By Media itself keeps Republicans, slash, conservatives, slash, Trump voters fired up 24\/7. I think, in fact, that many Republicans, slash, Trump, slash conservative voters can\u2019t wait to vote just to stick it to the media! Even if some of them may have lost a little of their fervor for Trump, they still resent the hell out of the way the media is participating in this silent coup to destroy the guy they elected and to overturn an election that they won.<\/p>\n

I don\u2019t think motivated Republicans are gonna be a problem. I don\u2019t think a lack of motivation or lack of inspiration — and at the same time, I\u2019m not sure I buy into this notion that the left is so chomping at the bit, it\u2019s a bunch of Secretariats out there in the starting gate; they just can\u2019t wait. The turnout in special elections, the Democrats, were not appreciably higher. In some of these primary elections that we\u2019ve had, we don\u2019t see any evidence of blowouts on the basis of turnout. And we certainly didn\u2019t see it yesterday.<\/p>\n

But, see, the difference is they are closed-minded about it. And you can\u2019t talk them out of their belief that the midterms are essentially already over and that the Democrats are gonna take the House. And they can\u2019t wait to start these investigations and paralyze Trump and maybe finally get rid of him. You can\u2019t convince them that their stereotypical, statistically formulaic, old-fashioned views, you can\u2019t convince them that they may not be able to rely on \u2019em.<\/p>\n

So they continue to report the news, they continue to do what they do with the belief that, like them, everybody now has become totally disgusted with Trump. And they\u2019re missing. And it\u2019s right in front of their face, even after these elections yesterday, in Florida and Arizona, even with the turnout deferential, they\u2019re still gonna be in denial about it. I\u2019ve seen it on CNN. They come up with all kinds of cockamamie excuses to explain it.<\/p>\n

The number one excuse is, “Well, come on. This is a special election turnout. It\u2019s gonna be much different in November. You wait. We can\u2019t judge anything.” Every election that\u2019s coming up they predict that they\u2019re gonna win it going away. Turnout, votes, you name it, it\u2019s gonna be a slam dunk. When they lose it or when the turnout\u2019s not what they think it is, they fall back to, “Well, it doesn\u2019t matter. This is not the kind of turnout where we\u2019re expecting this blue wave. That\u2019ll happen in November. You can\u2019t judge anything by these primaries or special elections.”<\/p>\n

\"\"You can\u2019t? See, every time they lose an election, that election doesn\u2019t count, that turnout model doesn\u2019t matter. It can\u2019t be right. They continue to live in denial about why they\u2019re losing. So we shall see. I still believe that we haven\u2019t yet had the events that are going to shape the outcome in the election in the midterms, in November. I believe it\u2019s still dicey to start polling people here in late August and to try to attach any solid meaning to that.<\/p>\n

Although I will say one thing. I think that the media\u2019s behavior, the behavior of Democrat Party, the whole Washington establishment, I think one thing you can count on is that Republican, slash, Trump voters are fed up now, and they\u2019re gonna stay fed up through November — it doesn\u2019t matter — because the media\u2019s gonna keep lighting a fire under \u2019em every day, multiple times a day.<\/p>\n

BREAK TRANSCRIPT<\/p>\n

RUSH: Do you think McCain could have taken a gubernatorial candidate down double digits in preelection polling and turned him into a double-digit winner? I\u2019m just asking.<\/p>\n

BREAK TRANSCRIPT<\/p>\n

RUSH: Everybody\u2019s all excited about the Florida governor\u2019s race, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, versus Andrew Gillum. That\u2019s Bernie Sanders and George Soros. And that\u2019s how people are looking at this. And, yeah, I mean, that\u2019s gonna become conventional wisdom. It\u2019s Trump versus Soros, it\u2019s Trump versus Crazy Bernie. What it\u2019s gonna be is the American founding versus Venezuela, the American founding versus socialism. That\u2019s what it\u2019s gonna be.<\/p>\n

I understand the desire people have to personalize this, you know, attach celebrities or personalities to the vote and so forth, but the substance of the governors election in Florida is real simple. It\u2019s conservative, slash, the founding of America type government type of country versus this new brand of Democrat socialism, which is being advocated by the likes of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. And we will see as time unfolds.<\/p>\n

BREAK TRANSCRIPT<\/p>\n

RUSH: Now, to go back to the red wave and blue wave business. Again, if you weren\u2019t here during the first hour, we talked about the governor\u2019s races, the primaries in both Florida and Arizona. And in both states, Republican turnout dwarfed Democrat turnout. Not supposed to be the case. We\u2019re supposed to be at the very beginning here of a blue wave.<\/p>\n

\"\"Democrat voter enthusiasm is supposed to be uncontainable. Democrat voters are just so chomping at the bit that they can\u2019t be held back. If the election were today, they\u2019d be out there in droves ready to set turnout records. People can\u2019t wait, they hate Trump so much. So many people that voted for Trump feel bad they did, they can\u2019t wait to correct their mistake, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah.<\/p>\n

And yet here come these elections, and the turnout story is entirely different. In Florida, 124,000 more Republican votes in the governor primary than Democrat voters; in Arizona, a hundred thousand more. How do you get a blue wave out of that?<\/p>\n

So let\u2019s go to the audio sound bites. Eamon Javers is a Washington correspondent CNBC. And he was on Squawk Box on CNBC this morning, and the cohostette, Becky Quick is talking to Eamon Javers about last night\u2019s results in Florida. Question: “When you see the polls getting it wrong all over again –” by the way, have you seen the media reference that? They\u2019re being set up and let down again by their own polls.<\/p>\n

Why did Hillary lose? I\u2019ve always maintained that one of the big problems the Democrats had in 2016 — and they had a lot — they believed their polls! I think their own media sunk \u2019em! I think their own polling units and their own expert polling, scientific analysts made them think they couldn\u2019t lose. Why else would Hillary not go to a bunch of states? Unless she physically was unable to, which may be true.<\/p>\n

They thought they had it in the bag! They thought it was a landslide! Trump didn\u2019t even have a 10% chance of winning. You remember all that. And I think that Hillary and her camp believed it! Why wouldn\u2019t they believe their own buddies in the media? And it\u2019s happening again. The polling data is almost an exact replica of 2016. And so Eamon Javers here is being asked to explain this.<\/p>\n

JAVERS: Polling has gotten a little bit hairy here. We don\u2019t quite have full transparency to what\u2019s going on with voters. In this case, Gillum didn\u2019t lead in any national polls going into this race; so the question is what were the pollsters actually capturing going into this race? You\u2019re seeing a surge in turnouts. You\u2019re seeing a lot of people showing up to vote who pollsters might not have expected to show up to vote.<\/p>\n

RUSH: Really?<\/p>\n

JAVERS: So that tilts everything. The other thing is just the rise of cell phones and how hard it is for people to be contacted these days. People don\u2019t answer their phones and a lot of people simply don\u2019t —<\/p>\n

QUICK: Good reason.<\/p>\n

JAVERS: — talk to pollsters who call them at night.<\/p>\n

\"\"RUSH: It\u2019s the cell phone excuse! Damn it, I forgot. It\u2019s the cell phone excuse. They can\u2019t find you because there isn\u2019t a white pages for cell phone numbers. I forgot. That\u2019s the excuse. They can\u2019t reach you. What a bunch of bohunk. Every scammer in the world can find your cell phone number, but pollsters can\u2019t? It\u2019s a fallback excuse. The guy said it right here. “You\u2019re seeing a surge in turnout. Seeing a lot of people showing up to vote that pollsters might not have expected to show.” Who might they be? I think he\u2019s talking about Republicans. He didn\u2019t say that.<\/p>\n

But the Drive-Bys really think that you\u2019re fat, dumb, and happy or satisfied or lackadaisical or you think you\u2019ve already won it. You\u2019re too dumb and stupid to know that your president still needs your vote. That\u2019s it. You\u2019re too unsophisticated, too stupid to know that your party needs your votes again. You\u2019re just gonna sit back and let the Democrats and these insane, lunatic socialists take back your country!<\/p>\n

It doesn\u2019t make any sense, unless you believe in ages-old conventional wisdom formula and theory about off-year elections, which they obviously do. And Eamon Javers was not finished. He suggests, you know what? There could even be a red wave out here, Becky.<\/p>\n

JAVERS: Right. The other factor is that people are just not telling pollsters the truth, right? Some people won\u2019t say exactly who they\u2019re voting for, will suggest they\u2019re gonna vote for somebody and then turn around and vote for somebody else because they feel that\u2019s the appropriate answer to give the pollster and in their heart of hearts they want to vote another way. And so all of that creates a cloudy picture going into November. You know, there\u2019s all this talk of “is there a blue wave, is there a red wave.” And I don\u2019t think —<\/p>\n

QUICK: Kind of hard to figure out.<\/p>\n

JAVERS: — we really know.<\/p>\n

RUSH: She says, “Yeah, kind of hard to figure out.” And Eamon Javers says, “I don\u2019t think we really know.” After all of this time, “We don\u2019t really know.” Well, now, how much ontological certitude have these people had for the past number of months reporting on the blue wave? It\u2019s been a fait accompli, has it not? Now all of a sudden — I\u2019m gonna tell you, when they saw those turnout numbers in the gubernatorial primary in Florida and Arizona, I guarantee you they were choking on whatever they were chewing or drinking.<\/p>\n

I mean, folks, they believe their own PR. They believe their own drivel. They believe their own polling data. They believe that they have succeeded in rallying this Democrat base. They believe that Democrat and anti-Trump haters cannot wait to get out and vote. And they believe that there are millions and millions and millions more of them than there are Trump voters. They believe it! They\u2019re not curious enough to challenge themselves. So when they saw these turnout numbers, panic, anger, disbelief, what have you.<\/p>\n

Mr. Newt weighing in on all this. Fox & Friends today, Brian Kilmeade. “Interesting matchup in Florida, Mr. Newt. The gubernatorial race is gonna be Bernie Sanders against Donald Trump using surrogates. You think that\u2019s the way to look at it?”<\/p>\n