{"id":214828,"date":"2016-11-02T18:59:07","date_gmt":"2016-11-02T22:59:07","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/172.24.32.11\/daily\/2016\/11\/02\/rollins_joins_caddell_feels_like_1980\/"},"modified":"2018-02-26T14:09:39","modified_gmt":"2018-02-26T19:09:39","slug":"rollins_joins_caddell_feels_like_1980","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/admin.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/2016\/11\/02\/rollins_joins_caddell_feels_like_1980\/","title":{"rendered":"Rollins Joins Caddell: Feels Like 1980"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"Listen<\/a> <\/p>\n

\n

RUSH: Pat Caddell, who worked for Jimmy Carter is on record this week as saying that this is starting to look like 1980 when Reagan came out of nowhere in the last week.<\/a>  He was down nine and ends up winning with a 10 state, 10% landslide.  Caddell is on record, starting to feel like that.  Well, Ed Rollins is joining Caddell in that.  This is Neil Cavuto last night, and he says to Rollins, “Hey, Ed, what\u2019s going on out there?  Anything? What do you sense, Ed?”<\/p>\n

ROLLINS:  Yeah, definitely there\u2019s a momentum shift, and you always want to be on the side of momentum.  And my sense is it started before the FBI thing and very similar to Reagan in 1980.  We were eight points behind.  We went ahead after that debate and finished with a very strong finish.<\/p>\n

RUSH:  Right.  So same show, Caddell is there, and Cavuto says, “Hey, Pat, were Reagan supporters similarly jazzed like Trump supporters are right now?  I\u2019m trying to see whether this is a tipoff of something that we might be missing or whether people are just hopeful this is happening.  What do you really think, Pat?<\/line><\/p>\n

CADDELL:  Crowds were not the indicator.  This race had been close.  The reason I did not want to debate the last week before the election, I didn\u2019t want to step on our incumbent momentum.  Reagan helped himself enormously in that debate.  Then the race kind of went back and forth for a couple days.  By Saturday, the race was even.  On Sunday, the race went to five points down; and on Monday night it went to 10 points down.  There was something happening there, which is that once that we had been trying, as the Clinton campaign has been doing, we had pressed Reagan\u2019s personality, those traits being too risky and being dangerous.  What happened was a break took place in the perception of the election.  Same thing here.<\/p>\n

RUSH:  All right.  So what he\u2019s trying to say is that the reason that they had the big shift in 1980 was that people stopped believing them, the Carter campaign when they are talking about how dangerous Reagan was, you can\u2019t let this guy near the nuclear button. He\u2019s a Hollywood actor. He\u2019s not very bright, you know, this guy\u2019s, he\u2019s kind of bumbling and stumbling. You don\u2019t want this guy anywhere near the levers of power.  That began to change, Caddell says, the last weekend, and he says it\u2019s the same thing that\u2019s beginning to happen here.  All of these things that people have been saying about Trump, they\u2019re not working anymore.  There\u2019s more.  Cavuto said, “So you think, Pat, you think Trump can do this?”<\/p>\n

<\/a>CADDELL:  Yes.  The other thing about these polls is the weighting problem is bad.  The Washington Post poll with Trump ahead is still showing a ten-point party margin which I believe is twice as high as it\u2019s likely to be. In which case you\u2019re looking at a race where Trump really is probably in their polling four or five points ahead.<\/p>\n

ROLLINS:  It does feel like the closing days of \u201980 with to me, Pat.<\/p>\n

CADDELL:  It does, too.<\/p>\n

RUSH:  That\u2019s Ed Rollins.  He ran Reagan in \u201980.  Carter and Caddell and Reagan and Rollins, and Caddell and Rollins, “Yeah, yeah, yeah, we\u2019re starting to feel the same thing we felt in \u201980.”  That\u2019s what they\u2019re saying.  This other point that he made about the weighting problem in the polls, he\u2019s right.  In the Washington Post tracking poll<\/a>, even now the one that Trump was up one yesterday and it\u2019s dead even today, they have a 10% Democrat advantage in that poll, 37% Democrats, 27% Republicans.  That is not changing. <\/p>\n

There\u2019s something else in these polls, I mentioned this in the first hour.  I\u2019ve got to mention it again.  They have assumed, all of these pollsters have assumed that the black turnout will be similar to what it was for Obama in \u201908 and \u201912, and they have put that into their projections.  If the black turnout\u2019s the same, it votes for Hillary, what does that mean for our poll?  But the black turnout may not approach those levels, which then further skews these results. <\/p>\n

But you heard Caddell.  He thinks this sample is 10% more Democrats than Republicans.  That\u2019s absurd.  It\u2019s more like three points, maybe four, you have 4%, 3% more Democrats than Republicans.  If you do that you might find Trump plus four in this poll.  Look, these are experts in it, they\u2019ve been there, done that, take it for what it\u2019s worth.  <\/p>\n<\/section>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

RUSH: Pat Caddell, who worked for Jimmy Carter is on record this week as saying that this is starting to look like 1980 when Reagan came out of nowhere in the last week.  He was down nine and ends up winning with a 10 state, 10% landslide.  Caddell is on record, starting to feel like that.  […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":70,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","ngg_post_thumbnail":0},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"\nRollins Joins Caddell: Feels Like 1980 - The Rush Limbaugh Show<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/2016\/11\/02\/rollins_joins_caddell_feels_like_1980\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Rollins Joins Caddell: Feels Like 1980 - 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