{"id":214772,"date":"2016-10-27T16:07:49","date_gmt":"2016-10-27T20:07:49","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/172.24.32.11\/daily\/2016\/10\/27\/nobody_knows_what_will_happen\/"},"modified":"2017-01-05T11:29:23","modified_gmt":"2017-01-05T16:29:23","slug":"nobody_knows_what_will_happen","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/admin.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/2016\/10\/27\/nobody_knows_what_will_happen\/","title":{"rendered":"Nobody Knows What Will Happen"},"content":{"rendered":"

RUSH:  I don\u2019t know, it was somebody.  Somebody said the polls were gonna tighten as we get closer to the election.  Somebody said it.  You heard me say it?  You heard me say it?  Yeah.  I guess that\u2019s right.<\/a> <\/p>\n

Hey, folks, here\u2019s the bottom line.  There isn\u2019t anybody that knows what\u2019s gonna happen here.  The best thing that you can do is to carry that attitude forward.  Nobody knows.  They really don\u2019t know. <\/p>\n

Wait \u2019til you hear the audio sound bites coming up.  I got people claiming today, “Oh, no, oh, no, Trump can win.”  Yesterday it was a Hillary landslide. The same people, yesterday it was a Hillary landslide.  Yesterday Trump had no hope.  Yesterday Trump was a walking buffoon making fools out of everybody on the Republican side.  Today he can win. <\/line><\/p>\n

And what\u2019s changed?  A couple of polls.  A couple of polls.  It is amazing.  Look, I\u2019m being critical, can\u2019t avoid it.  It\u2019s just amazing how something that is not news becomes the leading news item every day, and that is polling results.  Nobody knows!  And yet whatever the polls say every day determine the entire shape of coverage and commentary and reaction by everybody.  It\u2019s not just the Drive-Bys.  I mean, we\u2019re all prisoners to it. <\/p>\n

So I\u2019m telling you, the best way to go forward for these next few days, nobody knows.  There\u2019s not a soul that knows.  One thing you do know, the one thing you can be confident in knowing is that on the Democrat side it wasn\u2019t supposed to be going like this.  Whatever it is, the WikiLeaks dumps were not supposed to be happening.  All the attention to Hillary\u2019s emails were supposed to have been taken care of and vamanosed long, long ago.  Donald Trump should have been, was supposed to have been vanquished months ago. <\/p>\n

This was supposed to be a coronation.  It was gonna be a cakewalk.  And if you\u2019re the Democrats how can you blame \u2019em for thinking that?  They have literally been in bed with the media.  The media has been attending strategy dinners with the Clinton campaign and John Podesta.  The Clinton campaign has most of the money sewn up.  The Clinton campaign is spending most of the money.  You can\u2019t blame them for thinking they had this wired.  And here we are and nobody knows.  There isn\u2019t a soul who knows.  And nobody can know because it\u2019s the future.  And nobody can predict for you with ontological certitude what anybody is going to do on Election Day. And nobody can tell you what shocking news development may happen between now and then. <\/p>\n

You think the Democrats are through with their October Surprises?  I don\u2019t.  You think Trump might have a couple of his sleeve?  Who knows.  But there\u2019s still a lot of time to go here, my friends.  <\/p>\n

BREAK TRANSCRIPT<\/p>\n

Quick review of the polls and then we\u2019ll get back from the break we\u2019ll sound bites to back all this up.  Fox News: “Clinton\u2019s Lead Cut in Half.”  She was up six; now she\u2019s up three in the Fox News poll.  The Drive-Bys take this seriously. They hate Fox News, but they believe in the Fox poll.  The interesting thing about the Fox poll is that even the Fox poll oversampled Democrats by seven percentage points.  Democrats sampled are 44%, Republicans 37%.  The Democrat advantage is around 2.5 to three.  I\u2019m not complaining.  Don\u2019t misunderstand.<\/p>\n

<\/a>I\u2019ve given up complaining about these things.  I just cite them.  But Fox News has Trump cutting Hillary\u2019s lead in half, even with a Democrat oversample 7%.  From TheHill.com:  “Polls Tighten for Trump-Clinton<\/a> — Polls are tightening in the presidential race with less than two weeks to go before Election Day.”  You know, the pollsters ought to do what they did in 1948.  You may not know this.  In 1948, the pollsters stopped polling two weeks before Election Day. <\/p>\n

There are very, very, very, very, very, very few people who know this.  I happen to be one who does.  That\u2019s why everybody was so shocked.  Everybody went to bed thinking that Dewey had won. A big headline greets everybody the next day.  But in fact Truman had. The reason they were surprised is nobody polled in the last two weeks. <\/p>\n

The Drive-Bys might want to think about that because the news apparently is not good for them.  Some new survey showed that Clinton\u2019s national polling edge is narrowing, and in some of the battleground states, Florida and Ohio as well. “Hillary Lead Cut in Half in Washington Post\/ABC Tracking Poll.”  However, the AP is here to pick up the slack.  <\/p>\n

BREAK TRANSCRIPT<\/p>\n

RUSH:  Okay.  A couple little additional bits of information.  In the Fox poll last week that had Hillary up six, they oversampled the Democrats by 9%.  This week, with Hillary\u2019s lead cut from six points to three points, the Democrat oversample in the Fox News poll is 7%.  So you reduce the number of Democrats in the sample and Hillary\u2019s support comes down.  It makes sense.  The ABC\/Washington Post tracking poll oversampled Democrats by 7%.  Democrats 36% of the group, Republicans 29%.<\/p>\n

The rest of these people are independents and unaffiliated and all that, and we\u2019re being told that there are more of them than there are Republicans and Democrats.  But the thing to do is, when you look at all these, you add the Democrats to the unaffiliated and the independents.  For example, in the ABC\/Washington Post tracking poll, you\u2019ve got 36% Democrats and 29% Republican. Some of the independents are for Hillary you gotta figure and some of the unaffiliated, so basically you have a sample, and out of a hundred percent of it, 29% are people who say they\u2019re Republican. <\/p>\n

Now, you could take that for what it\u2019s worth.  I\u2019m not attaching any scientific significance to it because I am not a scientific pollster.  I\u2019m just giving you the way I look at these things.  You remember, now, my headline today is:  Nobody knows.  So let\u2019s just do a quick review here.  Fox News:  Trump has cut Hillary\u2019s lead in half.  She\u2019s up three from six.  TheHill.com shows a couple of other polls.  Real Clear Politics national average, Clinton\u2019s lead softened from seven points to five points.  ABC\/Washington Post tracking poll.  This is amazing.  A few days ago ABC News reported a 12-point lead for Hillary Clinton in their tracking poll.<\/line><\/p>\n

By the way, this 12-point lead stuff and 11-point lead, do you remember what Obama beat McCain by in \u201908?  It was seven point something, eight points, something like that, in 2012 Obama beat Romney by 3.8 points.  What is this 11- and 12-point lead stuff?  You notice it\u2019s dwindling now.  All these polls, somebody said this was gonna happen as we get closer to Election Day.  But, but, wait a minute, we\u2019ve got the AP here.  We have the Associated Press, and the Associated Press does not reflect anything that you just heard. <\/p>\n

Hillary Clinton appears on the cusp of a commanding victory, says the AP today.  “Hillary Clinton appears on the cusp of a potentially commanding victory over Donald Trump, fueled by solid Democratic turnout in early voting, massive operational advantages and increasing enthusiasm among her supporters.”  Overall, the AP poll shows Clinton leading Trump by 14 points among likely voters, 51-37.  So the Fox poll cuts it in half, six to three.  The ABC poll, 12 points down to six.  Trump is leading in Florida.  Bloomberg up by two.  AP out here is the outlier at 14 points.  Where are they getting all of this enthusiasm for Hillary?  I read that and I said, “What have I missed?”  <\/p>\n

“Fueled by solid Democrat turnout in early voting.”  Well, you know, I\u2019ve looked at the numbers in Republican early voting, and there\u2019s two things about that.  The numbers are staggering.  The number of people who have already voted, early voting, Republicans hold a nominal lead, at least this was as of yesterday.  But then you add this:  Early voting hasn\u2019t yet begun in three or four really big Trump counties in Florida.  It hasn\u2019t even started yet. <\/p>\n

This is truth.  I mean, our eyes don\u2019t lie.  There hasn\u2019t been any enthusiasm for Hillary Clinton in this whole campaign. She hasn\u2019t been able to draw a crowd anywhere.  Her book doesn\u2019t sell.  Tim Kaine draws crowds of 30.  There hasn\u2019t been any enthusiasm.  Now all of a sudden the AP\u2019s got a poll out with a 14-point lead and massive operational advantages, increasing enthusiasm among her supporters.  Among likely voters, the poll oversampled Democrats by nine points.  They oversampled Democrats in general by 11 points.  This poll oversampled registered voters by 10. <\/p>\n

So the likely voter oversample, Democrat nine.  The general, just Democrat whether they\u2019re gonna vote or not, oversample is 11%, and the registered voter segment of the poll, Democrats oversampled by 10 points.  And these minor details are buried on page 40 of the 45-page PDF file explaining the results of the AP poll.  But they\u2019re there, 14-point lead, AP.  What is the next one here?  Oh, yes.  Another AP story.  “Some Waver from Trump in Deep-Red Ohio Suburbs.”<\/a><\/line><\/p>\n

They went out here — this always happens.  The AP\u2019s always able to find a Republican fed up with his nominee.  They\u2019re always able to do it at this stage of the campaign.  “James Stepp says he is an Ohio Republican who is supporting Democrat Hillary Clinton. His reason? A Trump presidency, he says, would damage the GOP for years to come.  ‘The party needs to jettison Donald Trump in order to survive,\u2019 said Stepp, 29, of Franklin, in Warren County. <\/p>\n

“Voting for a Democrat in order to save the Republican Party is not a common thread of presidential campaigns, by any means. But this is no ordinary election, and many Republicans are finding reasons to back away from a nominee whose provocative rhetoric and treatment of women appall them.”<\/p>\n

It\u2019s just too camp.  It never ceases to amaze me how the AP always finds Republicans to say exactly what the AP thinks.  Isn\u2019t that amazing?  Isn\u2019t that funny?  The AP always is able to go out there in the deepest red part of America and find a Republican that thinks exactly like the AP does, and especially the Millennial, the 29-year-old, why, it couldn\u2019t get any more perfect. <\/p>\n

And, you know what?  What is the word of one guy?  It\u2019s anecdotal, is it not?  There is no science here.  The AP went out and they found one guy, a 29-year-old Republican, James Stepp, who says he\u2019s gotta vote for Hillary to save the Republican Party.  Who thinks that way outside of magazine editors and so forth?  Seriously, we gotta vote Hillary to save the Republican Party?  Hee-hee-hee. <\/p>\n

But, anyway, it\u2019s one guy.  That\u2019s anecdotal.  And we\u2019re not supposed to pay attention to anecdotal news.  It\u2019s just not scientific enough.  I mean, it\u2019s just one guy.  And yet the AP is signaling that this one guy and his opinion means Hillary Clinton landslide.  Yet 15,000 guys and women at a Trump rally, no, no, no, that doesn\u2019t mean anything, Mr. Limbaugh. <\/line><\/p>\n

You\u2019re supposed to ignore that.  That\u2019s anecdotal.  There\u2019s no science behind that.  We don\u2019t know how many of those 15,000 are gonna vote.  We don\u2019t know how many of those 15,000 are gonna vote for Trump if they vote.  We don\u2019t know anything.  You can\u2019t factor the size of Trump rallies into any projection.  You just can\u2019t do it.  We in the media are not gonna do it, we\u2019re not gonna let you get away with it. <\/p>\n

Yet they can go out and they can find one guy in Warren County, Ohio, 29 years old claiming he\u2019s voting Hillary to save the Republican Party.  And that is enough of a news story to shape an entire story that is based on the premise that Trump is going to lose big because Hillary\u2019s brilliantly out there working Republican-dominated suburbs to find angry Republicans. <\/p>\n

So Ohio is important again?  That\u2019s another thing.  Remember, Ohio was vitally important when Hillary was ahead.  When Hillary fell behind, the New York Times and the AP — remember those stories? — told us Ohio was no longer a bellwether.  Ohio doesn\u2019t matter anymore, they say.  You know why?  Because there aren\u2019t enough black people that live there.  Too many white people in Ohio.  It doesn\u2019t matter anymore.  It\u2019s not relevant.  It\u2019s not a bellwether.  It doesn\u2019t tell us anything. <\/p>\n

This is just three weeks ago, folks.  Three weeks ago these same schlubs at the AP who are reporting on one guy, a 29-year-old Republican in Warren County, Ohio, say he\u2019s voting for Hillary to save the GOP.  That\u2019s gospel.  Three weeks ago, Ohio was irrelevant.  But now one guy, anecdotal, is enough to write a story combined with their new poll showing Hillary up 14 to bury the Trump campaign.  And that\u2019s how they do it.  <\/p>\n

BREAK TRANSCRIPT<\/p>\n

RUSH: Time to go to the audio sound bites now, this to back up the polling data I just shared with you.  As I mentioned, the ABC poll is magically down to six points from 12, and here we have on Good Morning America, George Stephanopoulos talking with Matthew Dowd, a former Republican… Well, he worked for George W. Bush.  Now he\u2019s gone over to the dark side.  He\u2019s a Drive-By analyst, ostensibly.<\/p>\n

I don\u2019t even know if he\u2019s a Republican anymore.  So he\u2019s there, and Cokie Roberts, and they\u2019re talking about the polls and the presidential race.  Stephanopoulos says, “Matt,” Matthew Dowd, “where does the race stand now?  Our own tracking poll shows it\u2019s closer.  It\u2019s down to six points from 12, Matt!  What does it mean?  What does it mean?”<\/line><\/p>\n

DOWD:  Instead of describing this as “tightening,” I would describe it as “settling.” The race is settling in. As we remember having conversation just a few days ago when we had the race at 12, I said I thought the race was roughly at six.<\/p>\n

RUSH:  Ah.<\/p>\n

DOWD:  This race has been at five or six. One hundred and fifty days ago, when the general election started it was at five or six.  A hundred days ago, it was at five or six.  Two weeks ago, it was at five or six.  A week ago, it was at five or six.  So I think the race is just settling back to its natural equilibrium. <\/p>\n

RUSH: Oh.<\/p>\n

DOWD: If he somehow moves the race below four to three or two, then this race is very competitive.<\/p>\n

RUSH:  Oh, so they have nothing to worry about yet? It\u2019s always been five or six, other than that one couple of times it was 12.  But this guy says it\u2019s nothing happening out there.  It\u2019s always been five or six.  No, it hasn\u2019t.  You people have never portrayed this as that close.  You haven\u2019t done that. Shortly after the Democrat convention, that was the last time.  Since then it\u2019s been landslide territory.  But this guy says, “I\u2019ve always been telling everybody five or six! I\u2019ve always been saying that. It\u2019s no different now.”  But look what he\u2019s allowing. <\/p>\n

“Now, if this gets to below four, to three or two, then the race is competitive.”  Yesterday Trump was gone.  Yesterday Trump was fini.  Yesterday Trump was humiliatingly out of the race \u2019cause he\u2019d taken time-out to go to the hotel opening, plus the women, plus all the other stuff, plus the fact that they just hate Trump.  He was history.  He was toast.  It was over.  But now today — because of one thing, their poll, one thing — why would anybody rely on these people?  We\u2019re not getting any expert analysis of anything.  We\u2019re getting people reading numbers and telling you what they think about the numbers.  But it can get close now.  Oh, no! <\/p>\n

And here is Cokie Roberts…<\/p>\n

ROBERTS:  Right.  Right.  Women are not going for him, and, uh… But it is… I agree with Matt completely.  It\u2019s settling, but it could get quite tight.  Uh, Republicans have come home, and I think that you\u2019re gonna see, uh, some questioning among some of the women who have been saying that they\u2019re for Hillary Clinton right now but have never really been all that happy about it.<\/line><\/p>\n

RUSH:  What?  W-w-wait a minute!  We now learn today for the first time that the female support for Hillary\u2019s been soft, not hard?  Ahem.  It\u2019s been soft? “Uh, Republicans are starting to come home,” meaning yesterday the Republicans hated Trump and they couldn\u2019t stand it? Today they\u2019re coming home?  And women have been saying they\u2019re for Hillary but they\u2019ve “never really been all that happy about it”?  Cokie, how\u2019d you know that?  Why are we just learning this today?  Why didn\u2019t you tell us two months ago, a month ago, six weeks ago that the female support for Hillary wasn\u2019t all that tight, it wasn\u2019t all that hard? <\/p>\n

Why today is it soft?  Is it because The Oprah went out there and said, “Hey, you don\u2019t have to like her to vote for her”?  Did you see that endorsement from The Oprah?  The Oprah endorsed Hillary by basically saying, “Hey, you don\u2019t have to invite her to your house, you don\u2019t have to like her, but you should vote for her.”  And that\u2019s what Cokie Roberts sounds like a little bit here.  Well, you know, women have never really, really been all that tight. Her support\u2019s not been that hard. It\u2019s softening. <\/p>\n

Well, we\u2019re not through.  David “Rodham” Gergen, CNN, Erin Burnett OutFront last night.<\/p>\n

GERGEN:  He could definitely win this.  It is possible for him to win.  It remains an uphill fight because of the Electoral College, but he could get there.<\/p>\n

RUSH: What?<\/p>\n

GERGEN:  I think he has been helped by the fact that he hasn\u2019t been quite so much mired in defensiveness about the craziness that he went through with Miss Universe —<\/p>\n

RUSH:  Are you kidding me?<\/p>\n

GERGEN:  — and the sex tape and the women coming forward.  He\u2019s finally got a little bit of a clearing.  And, by the way, these polls, I think, do not yet show the impact of the Obamacare spike in premium prices —<\/p>\n

RUSH:  Ohhhhh!<\/p>\n

GERGEN:  — which could add a little more weight to the Trump side.<\/p>\n

RUSH:  Oh.<\/p>\n

GERGEN:  But she\u2019s still got the lead. She\u2019s still the favorite.<\/p>\n

RUSH: Yeah?<\/p>\n

GERGEN: But he\u2019s knocking on the door again.<\/p>\n

RUSH:  Do they hear what they say?  Could I translate this for you?  “Yeah, last week, they hated Trump. They despised Trump.  Last week they hated Trump.  But that Miss Universe thing went away. Now people like him again. They haven\u2019t heard about Miss Universe in a week.  Yeah, so they hated him last week, they didn\u2019t trust him because of women, but there hasn\u2019t been any news about women in a week, so they\u2019re coming home.”  Really?  He could win this.  He could win! John King at CNN last night…<\/line><\/p>\n

KING:  If the election\u2019s about creating jobs or about changing Washington, Trump wins.  Voters view him as the best candidate to do that by a big margin.  If it\u2019s about temperament, a role model for our children, Hillary Clinton wins by a huge margin.  So how the candidates shape the race in this final week plus is critical.  If it\u2019s about jobs and change, Trump might win.  If it\u2019s about temperament, who\u2019s a role model for our children, that is Hillary Clinton\u2019s basket.<\/p>\n

RUSH:  Wait a second! Wait a second.  You mean if it\u2019s about jobs and the economy and the state of the country, Trump could win?  When did that change?  ‘Cause that\u2019s always been what Trump\u2019s about.  Why wasn\u2019t it two weeks ago, Trump could win?  This is what I mean, folks.  Everything that you\u2019ve heard up \u2019til now, you may as well just forget it because these people are switching on a dime here and it\u2019s the polls that are doing it.  I\u2019ll guarantee you if tomorrow the polls show Hillary back up 10 to 12, these people are gonna say, “It\u2019s over! Trump never had a prayer.”  Nobody knows, folks.  Trust your own instincts.  Nobody knows.<\/p>\n

BREAK TRANSCRIPT<\/p>\n

RUSH: The polls and them growing tighter.  It\u2019s just astounding, ladies and gentlemen, what we\u2019re hearing on cable news networks last night versus just the day before, certainly a week before. It\u2019s all because the polls are tight, and now all of a sudden Trump can win, Trump can win.<\/p>\n

David Gergen (paraphrasing), “If the election\u2019s about the economy, if the election\u2019s about jobs, if the election\u2019s about health care, yes, yeah, Trump can win.”  Well, what the hell else is it about?  “Well, if the election\u2019s about personality, if the election\u2019s about competence and fitness, then of course Hillary\u2019s gonna win.”  But wait, yesterday, the day before, last week, it was over.  I mean, it was so over, it was a Trump landslide defeat.  There wasn\u2019t gonna be any way.  It was hopeless for Trump.  And now just because some polls have tightened, all bets are off. <\/line><\/p>\n

And again, I just want to emphasize to all of you, nobody knows, folks.  Nobody knows.  And the people who are set up as experts, these analysts and commentators on TV, they don\u2019t know.  I mean, why do you need somebody to tell you what you already know?  Why do you need somebody two days ago telling you Donald Trump doesn\u2019t have a chance, it\u2019s over, every negative they list, and it\u2019s all because of polling data, and maybe their personal desire. <\/p>\n

And then two days go by and a new poll, series of polls come out and Hillary\u2019s lead is cut in half and all of a sudden Trump can win.  You don\u2019t need experts on TV to explain this to you.  They aren\u2019t expert.  They don\u2019t know anything you don\u2019t know.  In fact, they\u2019re in a more dangerous position. They think they know more than they know and they think they are experts here.  Cokie Roberts.  “Well, you know, some Republicans are coming home.  They\u2019re starting to come home.”  What? <\/p>\n

The AP has a story today, this Republican guy out of Warren, Ohio, is gonna vote for Hillary to save the Republican Party.  What do you mean, Republicans are coming home?  But she said they\u2019re coming home.  And she also said, because the polls are tightening, the female support for Hillary, it\u2019s not been all that tight, it\u2019s not been all that solid, it\u2019s always been there, but it hasn\u2019t been that solid.  Really?  Why didn\u2019t we learn this last week?<\/p>\n

I mean, up to now we\u2019ve been told that women hate Donald Trump, have we not?  That women hate Trump, that Trump is just considered “ew” by all women of any substance, he doesn\u2019t have a prayer.  Now all of a sudden women are starting to waffle on Hillary?  And we go to the endorsement by The Oprah where she said (paraphrasing), “Yeah, you don\u2019t have to like her, and you don\u2019t have to have her into your house, but you should vote for her.”  So it\u2019s fluid and it remains fluid and it is not over.  Nobody knows.  <\/p>\n<\/section>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

RUSH:  I don\u2019t know, it was somebody.  Somebody said the polls were gonna tighten as we get closer to the election.  Somebody said it.  You heard me say it?  You heard me say it?  Yeah.  I guess that\u2019s right.  Hey, folks, here\u2019s the bottom line.  There isn\u2019t anybody that knows what\u2019s gonna happen here.  The […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":70,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","ngg_post_thumbnail":0},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"\nNobody Knows What Will Happen - The Rush Limbaugh Show<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/admin.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/2016\/10\/27\/nobody_knows_what_will_happen\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Nobody Knows What Will Happen - 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