{"id":213858,"date":"2016-06-27T18:46:45","date_gmt":"2016-06-27T22:46:45","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/172.24.32.11\/daily\/2016\/06\/27\/analyzing_the_trump_news\/"},"modified":"2016-06-27T18:46:45","modified_gmt":"2016-06-27T22:46:45","slug":"analyzing_the_trump_news","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/admin.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/2016\/06\/27\/analyzing_the_trump_news\/","title":{"rendered":"Analyzing the Trump News"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"Listen<\/a> <\/p>\n

\n

RUSH: There\u2019s Trump news.  I want to get to that first.  First, the New York Times<\/a> headline:  “Donald Trump Slips Further Behind Hillary Clinton in New Polls.”  Now, hang on just a second.  There are a couple of polls out.  One of them shows Trump back down double digits.  I think it\u2019s ABC News\/Washington Post. <\/p>\n

Then there\u2019s another poll that shows Hillary only up one.  But wait. Before I get to the details, there\u2019s another polling story here.  Our old buddies at TheFederalist.com<\/a>.  You ready for this?  Headline: “No, The Polls Aren\u2019t Biased. Clinton Really Is Leading Trump.” It\u2019s by Emily Ekins.  This is how she opens the piece: “The conservative blogosphere is lighting up again with accusations of polling bias against Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump in his race against Democratic opponent Hillary Clinton. However, Trump supporters should avoid giving into this temptation to assume unfavorable results must be biased results. Clinton really is leading Trump, and by nearly 6 percentage points.” And you better believe it.  You better accept it \u2019cause it\u2019s not made up. <\/p>\n

<\/a>“The blogospherian argument goes something like this: Clinton is leading Trump by 5 to 7 points in certain polls because the pollsters oversampled or over-weighted Democrats by about 5 to 7 points. If the polls are ‘corrected\u2019 to include fewer Democrats, then the race is actually tied, they say.<\/p>\n

“For instance, one blogger argues that a recent CBS News poll inflated the number of Democrats in the poll, comprised of 28 percent Republicans and 35 percent Democrats. Citing one pollster\u2019s calculation, she thinks party identification in the United States is closer to parity, with 28 percent Republicans and only 29 percent Democrats rather than a seven-point Democratic advantage. She reasons that if you erase the partisan gap that would erase Clinton\u2019s six-point lead over Trump.<\/p>\n

For Trump supporters, this is a tempting narrative to believe. But this simply isn\u2019t so. The fact is there just are more Democrats out there than Republicans, and this has largely been the case at least since the New Deal,” and you better accept it, she says.  “That obviously doesn\u2019t mean Democrats always win, but it\u2019s unwise to assume a pollster is biased because its sample included more Democrats than Republicans.”<\/p>\n

Then she goes on to say and talk about how she\u2019s studied poll after poll after poll, and she has found that hundreds of polls, aggregated nearly 100 different pollsters finds the average Democrat makeup of any poll is 34.8% and 28% Republican.  Roughly six-point advantage.  Very similar to CBS.  Her point is that, look, I\u2019ve studied a hundred pills pols, and they all have the same six- to seven-point Democrat advantage because there are six to seven more Democrats identified than there are Republicans.  Interesting when you go liberal conservative, it\u2019s not even close.  Almost twice as many people identify as conservatives as liberals, but they don\u2019t poll that way.  They poll party identification. <\/p>\n

Now, there are exceptions to this.  We\u2019ve found polls that sample Democrat majority of 20%.  They\u2019re bad polls.  A lot of polls have gotten it wrong, starting in, well, 2010, 2014.  A lot of the Brexit polls were so bad, it\u2019s not even funny.  But some of the polls have been right.  So, anyway, Miss Ekin\u2019s points here is, you Trumpists, do not lie to yourselves like the Romney people did.  The Romney people went into the 2012 election thinking the polls were wrong by five or six points, thought Romney was gonna win.  It turns out the polls were right on the money.  Don\u2019t lie to yourselves, is her point.  <\/p>\n

Okay, that takes me back to the original story here.  New York Times:  “Donald Trump Slips Further Behind Hillary Clinton in New Poll.”  However, let me read to you a paragraph in this story.  This poll, by the way, shows Clinton with a… Well, let\u2019s review the data before I get to that paragraph.  “A Washington Post-ABC News survey had Mrs. Clinton with a double-digit lead: 51% to 39%. A Wall Street Journal-NBC News poll had Mrs. Clinton with a smaller advantage of five percentage points.<\/p>\n

“Both polls, released on Sunday, showed Mr. Trump in worse shape than he had been a month ago, as voters in the latest polls expressed doubts about his preparedness and qualifications to lead the nation.”  Isn\u2019t that increasingly curious, given that\u2019s exactly what Hillary Clinton is saying?  Well, here\u2019s the paragraph:  “Despite his woes, not all the results of the new polls were heartening for Mrs. Clinton.<\/p>\n

“The Journal-NBC survey found that her lead essentially disappears when candidates from the Green Party and Libertarian Party are included. She essentially tied Mr. Trump, with 39% to his 38%. Together, third-party candidates grabbed 16% of the support.” Well, isn\u2019t that kind of relevant?  Because the libertarian candidate is not going away, right?  Gary Johnson, he\u2019s gonna be there.  So doesn\u2019t this paragraph kind of undo the headline, “Donald Trump Slips Further Behind Hillary Clinton in New Polls”? If it\u2019s just Trump and Hillary, yeah<\/line><\/p>\n

But if you throw the other candidates in there, she\u2019s reduced to a one-point margin.  I don\u2019t know if these candidates are gonna hold up all through the campaign or what have you.  But the point that she\u2019s trying to make is that all of you Trumpists out there, “Don\u2019t lie to yourselves when you see your guy down in the polls. It\u2019s a mistake to lie to yourself and tell yourselves they\u2019re not true because they\u2019re biased.  You better accept it and deal with it, and Trump better accept it and deal with it so as to fix it.” <\/p>\n

In the New York Post,<\/a> Michael Walsh: “Five Things Trump Must Do to Win the Election,” and I\u2019m just gonna go through the five.  I\u2019m not gonna read every point made about the five.  “First, keep pummeling Hillary.  Second, learn a lesson from John McCain and Mitt Romney. The Maverick was a media darling until he had the effrontery to run against The One in 2008, while Romney was transformed from a successful Mormon businessman into a rapacious ogre. Overwhelmingly Democratic and partisan, the media votes with its pens and cameras every day…” <\/p>\n

Do not rely on overwhelming, constant media coverage to cover for you, Mr. Trump. “Third, skip the ‘gotcha\u2019 game.” You know, don\u2019t go out there playing Twitter games with Hillary.  Stick to the issues.  “Fourth, make it clear to the junior wing of the Permanent Bipartisan Fusion Party, who\u2019s boss now.”  This is what Walsh calls the Republican Party: “the junior wing of the Permanent Bipartisan Fusion Party.” That\u2019s his way of describing the Washington establishment. <\/p>\n

And number 5: “[B]e yourself…”  <\/p>\n

BREAK TRANSCRIPT<\/p>\n

RUSH:  There\u2019s one more.  What did I do with it?  Oh, yeah. There\u2019s a piece by Jonathan Tobin.  This is a Commentary,<\/a> which is a… Yeah, you\u2019d call it conservative website. Jonathan Tobin.  “Where in the World Was Trump?”  This guy is just beside himself that on the Friday of the results of Brexit, Trump was opening a golf course.  Why didn\u2019t Trump lead with Brexit?  Why is Trump so tone deaf that there he is, he\u2019s in Scotland, he\u2019s in the UK, the vote has come in and it\u2019s one of the biggest things that ever come down in the history of the UK, of the EU, and he starts talking about his golf course?  Where the hell was Trump? <\/p>\n

<\/a>Does Trump not have anybody telling him what to focus on?  He\u2019s really upset about this, and he\u2019s using it to indicate Trump doesn\u2019t even know what he\u2019s doing.  He doesn\u2019t have a sense, he doesn\u2019t even have the perception here to understand what\u2019s important on his own if there\u2019s not somebody to tell him: Hey, you better address Brexit!  “Trump was taking care of business, but not the business of running for president. He was promoting his golf courses.” He was also doing something else.  He was actually supporting his son, Eric. <\/p>\n

Eric was in charge of that project.  You people may not know this, but Eric Trump was in charge of the Trump Turnberry thing.  And it finished on time, and it came in under budget.  And Trump went over there, of course, to brag about it, to extol virtues, but also support his son.  But Tobin says: My God, this campaign\u2019s in enough chaos without Trump knowing what the hell to talk about!  I mean, you just don\u2019t go talk about yourself as a presidential candidate. You don\u2019t talk about yourself. You don\u2019t talk about your own business interests!<\/p>\n

You don\u2019t brag about how good you\u2019re doing. You don\u2019t brag about how well you\u2019re doing.  I\u2019m telling you, I think these people are well-intentioned, but I still don\u2019t think they understand why Trump\u2019s support base supports him.  Now, I know Trump has to grow his support base.  Don\u2019t… I\u2019m not living under any illusions here, but I do know this as well. <\/p>\n

A lot of people supporting Trump do so because they think he is profoundly competent in running things right and getting things built on time, under budget, and having them operate as they are intended.  And, believe me, there are a lot of people supporting Trump who thinks there isn\u2019t a single person in Washington who has the slightest idea how to do anything right.  So Trump showing up bragging about how this project is going gangbusters and this one is actually gangbusters for him.  Now, whether he can build a base based at another thing.  <\/p>\n<\/section>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

RUSH: There\u2019s Trump news.  I want to get to that first.  First, the New York Times headline:  “Donald Trump Slips Further Behind Hillary Clinton in New Polls.”  Now, hang on just a second.  There are a couple of polls out.  One of them shows Trump back down double digits.  I think it\u2019s ABC News\/Washington Post.  […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","ngg_post_thumbnail":0},"categories":[],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"\nAnalyzing the Trump News - The Rush Limbaugh Show<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/2016\/06\/27\/analyzing_the_trump_news\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Analyzing the Trump News - 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