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RUSH: Daily Caller has an interesting story. “Mitt Romney would collect at least 72 of the 110 electoral votes available in eight battleground states if President Barack Obama\u00c2\u2019s current polling numbers, as reported by The Huffington Post, are overstated by a mere 1%.” Now, let me go back to Wednesday on this program, the day after the Wisconsin recall election. Now, I remember leading off the program with what I thought was the key point of the day. Everybody had their thoughts on what\u2019s the big lesson.<\/p>\n
And a lot of people were saying the impact on unions, the literal loss of membership in public employee unions in Wisconsin, was profound. One of the reforms that Walker initiated was an end to the state deducting union dues off the top of a union member\u2019s paycheck. The union member never saw it. It was just like taxes: They never saw the money. The state deducted it and it went to the union and then it went to the Democrats. By the way, I have to tell you, I\u2019m really pleased about something.<\/p>\n
I read voluminously last night about the Walker recall and the latest opinion punditry, and I was excited to see how many people are writing about the lesson learned in the Walker recall. And basically, if I had to synthesize it, it would be the point that I have been pounding home for two years now. Finally, taxpayers have realized that they are paying for a deal they don\u2019t get. Taxpayers finally woke up and realized that lifetime…<\/p>\n
You know, a public employee union member gets a job, works for 23 years, retires, and gets 90% of salary as the pension and full health care until they die. And people who are out of work or don\u2019t make very much money are paying the taxes that fund all that. And finally people woke up and realized that\u2019s not sustainable. I can\u2019t tell you how many people have come to that conclusion and realized that that\u2019s one of the primary lessons that has been learned by the public in all this.<\/p>\n
And that is fabulous.<\/p>\n
‘Cause, folks, you know, private sector union membership is down to 7%. The construction workers unions, the private sector union workforce is 7% of the US labor force. It topped out way back in the glory days at around 30, 35%. Now, the government union percentage is a little bit higher, but it\u2019s coming down as well. It was a profoundly educational campaign. The unions, when they retrace their steps here, are going to rue the day they did this recall. They\u2019re gonna rue the day they did all the recalls.<\/p>\n
That pretty much was akin to, “Do you want to be a member of a union or not?” And before the initiative, 60,000 people in Wisconsin were having their union dues withheld by the government. They never saw it. Something like 40,000 union workers opted out of that. It was a death knell. So that\u2019s all good. The second thing — and in a political sense, almost as important. Because we know how flawed the exit polls were…. I mean, at nine o\u2019clock when the polls closed they said it was 50-50.<\/p>\n
They said it was too close to call on the cable networks. And by the way, the cable networks knew that that wasn\u2019t true. I wish I could tell you how I know that, but I would be betraying a courtesy. And I don\u2019t want to do that. But trust me: When you saw the Chyron graphic on the network at nine o\u2019clock, “Race Too Close to Call,” they knew it wasn\u2019t too close to call. I\u2019ll bet you also heard this. When you saw the Chyron graphic, “Race Too Close to Call,” you then heard somebody say, “but we expect to call it in the next hour.”<\/p>\n
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So my point is that everybody knew, despite what was being reported on the air at the time, that the exit polls were worthless. It wasn\u2019t 50-50. It wasn\u2019t too close to call. But they like viewers, and the indecision and the unknown makes people stay tuned longer. I understand all that. But when it was all said and done, I know that one of the most important things going on at the White House is polls. They\u2019re looking at all the polling data they\u2019ve got from all over the country, and they\u2019re saying, “What if this isn\u2019t right?<\/p>\n
“What if none of these polls are accurate anymore?” How many years has it been, how many elections has it been that the exit polls were dead wrong? You go back to 2004, and the first two waves of exit polls had John Kerry elected. I\u2019ll never forget old Bob Shrum. The story goes that Bob Shrum, who ran Kerry\u2019s campaign, went in to him at five o\u2019clock in the afternoon when the second wave came in and said, “Mr. Kerry, may I be the first to call you, ‘Mr. President.'”<\/p>\n
But when the real votes came in and they started being counted, the exit polls were nowhere near accurate. They said, “Okay, what\u2019s wrong? Why are our exit polls so wrong?” They started look at their methodology. Then they discovered that they oversampled Democrats by four to five percent in the exit poll, like they do every other poll during the course of the year. So are the polls right? That\u2019s what they\u2019re asking themselves. So, here comes this story from the Daily Caller.<\/p>\n
“Mitt Romney would collect at least 72 of the 110 electoral votes available in eight battleground states if President Barack Obama\u00c2\u2019s current polling numbers, as reported by The Huffington Post, are overstated by a mere 1%.” If they\u2019re off by 1%. “Romney would win that electoral majority in Colorado, Iowa, Missouri, Ohio, Virginia, North Carolina, Florida and Wisconsin if there is a 1% undercount and if undecided voters there split evenly between Romney and Obama.<\/p>\n
“That would give the former Massachusetts governor at least 253 Electoral College votes — just a few votes shy of the 270 he will need to claim the White House. But if the undecided voters break for Romney by two-thirds, Romney would win all those states\u00c2\u2019 110 votes, pushing him well above the 270 margin and earning Obama a helicopter ride home to Illinois. ‘It\u2019s a good reminder that small shifts in votes can play a big role in electoral votes,\u2019 Trey Grayson, director of Harvard\u00c2\u2019s Institute of Politics, told The Daily Caller.”<\/p>\n
Really?<\/p>\n
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<\/a>“Grayson predicted that the battleground states are ‘likely to break together,\u2019 resulting in a strong showing for one candidate or the other.” They\u2019re not going to split. “‘A lot of these states have things in common,\u2019 he said, including Midwestern geography and higher than average populations of white voters. … Tuesday\u00c2\u2019s recall vote in Wisconsin …. was a good indicator of how badly some pre-election polling can perform.” So now I guarantee you, there is abject panic out there.<\/p>\n