{"id":15424,"date":"2012-06-13T16:28:10","date_gmt":"2012-06-13T16:28:10","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2012-06-13T16:28:10","modified_gmt":"2012-06-13T16:28:10","slug":"panic_democrats_realize_obama_can_lose","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/admin.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/2012\/06\/13\/panic_democrats_realize_obama_can_lose\/","title":{"rendered":"Panic! Democrats Realize Obama Can Lose"},"content":{"rendered":"

RUSH: Make no mistake about it: Democrats are panicking. Karen Tumulty in the Washington Post is the latest example in the media. But they\u2019re all writing stories now that Democrats are waking up in the morning now and for the first time confronting the real possibility — in fact, some are even calling it a likelihood — that Obama could lose. And they\u2019re contemplating this for the first time. They\u2019ve never, ever — up \u2019til now, up \u2019til last week — thought it possible Obama could lose.<\/p>\n

Well, Obama\u2019s down two points in North Carolina. Obama only won that state by 12,000 votes. Some of the polling data out of North Carolina has Obama down significantly among black voters. Now, let me give you a caveat: I\u2019m nervous citing polling data in June about an election in November. And even Obama himself is doing his Alfred E. Neuman impression. He says, “Oh, I\u2019m not worried. Most people aren\u2019t even paying attention now,” and he may be right about that. I\u2019m not so sure, though.<\/p>\n

As destructive as his policies have been — as miserable as people are, as hopeless as the situation looks — I think more people are paying attention than would be normally at this time in an election year. Normally, the mass population starts tuning in after Labor Day, starts building up during the conventions. I think we\u2019re ahead of that. The Tea Party\u2019s evidence of it. These people were never involved in politics before, and started getting involved three years ago. I think more and more people are paying more and more attention.<\/p>\n

Obama may be fooling himself, but he\u2019s down. I\u2019ll give you the polling data anyway. He\u2019s down significantly. I don\u2019t have the numbers right in front of me. He\u2019s down significantly in black voters in North Carolina and losing the state, and more just hit. Rasmussen just hit with Romney up by three over Obama in Wisconsin<\/a>, 47-44. Now, I don\u2019t put a lot of stock in polls right now, but they do. Presidential candidates, presidents live and die by \u2019em. They do, and theirs are worse than even this.<\/p>\n

BREAK TRANSCRIPT<\/p>\n

RUSH: The Public Policy Polling poll says that Romney would get 20% of the black vote compared with 76% for Obama if the election were held today in North Carolina. Now, as I say: A poll today is worth nothing more than the trend, if even that. I mean, it\u2019s a snapshot of today. There\u2019s no guarantee that that sentiment is gonna hold, obviously, from now to September. But the thing is professional politicians live and die by this stuff, and they are guided and affected by policy and other public position by these polls.<\/p>\n

And I\u2019m just gonna tell you that a poll in North Carolina — and they barely won North Carolina. It turns out to be a crucial state this year. Obama won it by 12,000 votes, I think, in 2008. If he loses 2% of the black vote… Forget 10% of it. If he loses 2% of the black vote in North Carolina, it\u2019s over. That\u2019s why the Democrat National Convention is in Charlotte. He was going to go in there and shore things up. And it\u2019s not working. I guarantee you, this Public Policy Polling poll — and it\u2019s a North Carolina firm, a big bunch of libs.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

If they say that Romney would get 20% of the black vote and Obama 76%, I guarantee you at the White House they see that. At the Congressional Black Caucus, they see it. And they have to believe it. They can\u2019t sit there and say, “Well, it\u2019s only June the 13th.” They have to factor it, and it does affect what they\u2019ll do going forward. Now, Obama\u2019s counting on getting 95% of the black vote in North Carolina like he did in 2008. Now, according to Public Policy Polling, Obama was at 87% in May.<\/p>\n

So he\u2019s losing more than 20% of the black vote.<\/p>\n

He\u2019s at 76% now.<\/p>\n

He had 87% of the black vote in the poll last month, and he\u2019s down now to 76%. So that\u2019s 11% that he\u2019s lost. And there\u2019s a lot of reasons for this. One is that Obama has “evolved” on his views on gay marriage since back in early May. That\u2019s caused some blacks to probably do some “evolving” of their own. And then you throw Wisconsin into this. And the people who live and die by polls are gonna look at both polls and they\u2019re gonna be forced to believe it. They have no choice but than to believe it.<\/p>\n

If they ignore it, they do so at their own peril. I\u2019ve always thought that if I were an elected official, I would ignore polls. I\u2019m sure that my advisers would go batty, but I would ignore them. But these people won\u2019t. The bottom line is that they live and die by this stuff. They do largely everything they do based on these polls. And I think they\u2019ve been trending like this for a long time, and they\u2019re trending in such a way… We had the numbers yesterday. We had a caller with a great stat.<\/p>\n

I forget precisely what he said in the statistic, but I do remember that two-thirds of incumbent presidents since 1825 have lost reelection. Two-thirds since 1825 have lost. Everybody thinks that incumbency is an automatic shoo-in factor, and statistical it isn\u2019t. Now, in recent years, if you go back not quite as far as 1825, the percentage changes. And in recent years the incumbent does perform better in reelection, but if you go back to 1825 and factor it all in, it\u2019s not a slam dunk, incumbency.<\/p>\n

And Obama is nowhere near where he needs to be traditionally for incumbent presidents, who need to be at least 50% in the polls at some point in the year. He\u2019s not there. And he\u2019s trending the other way. And that\u2019s the point about this. And now you take a look at accompanying news stories, the combination of fundraising — which is down. I don\u2019t care what they\u2019re telling you. All the fundraisers Obama\u2019s doing? Why do you think he\u2019s doing so many? Is because they\u2019re way, way down.<\/p>\n

Now they\u2019re running an ad. Folks, they\u2019re running another celebrity dinner fundraiser. The difference in this one is that they want you to tell them who the celebrity will be. They have decided that they\u2019re going to keep up with this positioning of being out of touch with the vast majority of their voters. They\u2019re going all Kardashian<\/a>, all the time. Celebrity of the United States. Obama\u2019s out raising money left and right. He\u2019s done more fundraisers than Bush combined. And the reason is, all he\u2019s gonna have is television spots.<\/p>\n

He can\u2019t run on his record.<\/p>\n

All he\u2019s gonna have is TV ads to try to scare people about Mitt Romney.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

He\u2019s gonna talk about Romneycare. (That\u2019s the one shoe that was not dropped yet, and it will at some point.) But Romney\u2019s way ahead in fundraising. Obama is not where he should be in these polls. The polls are all trending the wrong way, and so they have really allowed panic to set in. So the combination of fundraising in the polls give us stories like this from Politico: “Democrats Want Change in Obama\u2019s Message.” I don\u2019t see why. Why would Democrats want a change in Obama\u2019s message? Maybe there\u2019s a clue in the story. Here\u2019s what they\u2019re talking about…<\/p>\n

“Then Obama summarized his own message. ‘If people ask you, “What\u2019s this campaign about?” You tell them it\u00c2\u2019s still about hope. You tell them it\u00c2\u2019s still about change. You still tell them it\u00c2\u2019s still about ordinary people who believe that in the face of great odds, we can still make a difference in the life of this country. I still believe that,\u2019 Obama said.” So Obama, at these fundraisers, is telling his donors: “It\u2019s still about hope! It\u2019s still about change!” But the Democrats want a “change in Obama\u2019s message,” because it isn\u2019t working.<\/p>\n

He\u2019s not connecting with anybody.<\/p>\n

Karen Tumulty in the Washington Post: “Obama campaign\u2019s rough Patch Concerns Some Democrats — Is it time for Democrats to panic?” Look, I\u2019m in charge of that. I\u2019ve assumed the responsibility of telling people when it\u2019s panic time, for both Democrats and Republicans. As Tumulty writes, “That\u2019s what a growing number of party loyalists are wondering, amid a rough couple of weeks in which President Obama and his political operation have been buffeted by bad economic news, their own gaffes and signs that the presumed Republican nominee is gaining strength.”<\/p>\n

You know, folks, the number of articles detailing the disaster that\u2019s known as Obama\u2019s campaign is astounding. There are at least two of them a day. And I\u2019m telling you: If liberals are jittery now, can you imagine what\u2019s gonna happen if the Supreme Court strikes down Obamacare? And that\u2019s gonna come up in this month at some point. If it struck down in whole or in part… Now, as Karen Tumulty writes, “Obama\u2019s team insists that it is unfazed by the recent bumps in the political road. By November, ‘it\u2019s going to be about: Who do I trust more in [his] approach to the debt?<\/p>\n

“‘Who do I trust more to create middle-class jobs? Who do I trust more to create an energy future? Who do I trust more as it relates to Afghanistan?\u2019 said David Plouffe,” who ran Obama\u2019s campaign in \u201908. Well, let\u2019s look at this. Obama\u2019s campaign strategerist says to the Washington Post: “By November,” voters are going to be asking, “Who do I trust more in [his] approach to the debt?” Uh, is that even a question? One man is responsible for a third of the national debt that has occurred in three years!<\/p>\n

Mitt Romney didn\u2019t add one penny of debt!<\/p>\n

Obama doesn\u2019t have one policy to reduce the debt.<\/p>\n

He\u2019s not even interested in it.<\/p>\n

<\/a>What planet are these guys on?<\/p>\n

So I tell you, it\u2019s like I\u2019ve always said about Hillary. Everybody was just in fearful awe of Hillary Clinton in the nineties, and I said, “Wait a minute. She\u2019s just like every other guy: She puts her pants on one leg at a time.” That\u2019s just like Obama. There\u2019s nothing superhuman about these guys. In fact, they\u2019re fallible and they\u2019re not that smart. Anybody could have gotten Obama elected in \u201908, and I\u2019ll say it. Anybody could have gotten Obama elected! Look what he was running against. Look what the media had done to eight years of Bush.<\/p>\n

By the time McCain started his campaign and gave indications of what he wasn\u2019t gonna permit, then everybody knew. It wouldn\u2019ta mattered. And then the next question: “Who do I trust more to create middle class jobs?” What are they smoking? They really think that that\u2019s a contest? There aren\u2019t any middle class jobs! Whatever job creation\u2019s going on are part-time jobs, with no permanent benefits attached. When the answer to that\u2019s to blame Bush<\/a>, or to say that Romney is responsible for it, these guys are giving themselves an impossible task.<\/p>\n

The next question: “Who do I trust more to create an energy future?” Who is it that is illustrating that wind and solar are busts and lead to debt and bankruptcy? There isn\u2019t any business there! If this is what these guys are really saying, no wonder Democrats are getting worried. It sounds like he\u2019s gonna run on his record! And he doesn\u2019t have one. “Who do I trust more as it relates to Afghanistan?” Believe me, by the time we get to November, the economy is not gonna straighten out and Afghanistan\u2019s not gonna be in the top four of what\u2019s on people\u2019s minds.<\/p>\n

BREAK TRANSCRIPT<\/p>\n

RUSH: I\u2019m here, folks. I was waiting on the printer. And we\u2019re back. Obama is quoted as saying, (paraphrasing) “I\u2019m not worried. I don\u2019t think anybody\u2019s paying attention. People aren\u2019t paying attention right now.” And traditionally he would be right. June, not that much attention. This is different, though. I think far more people are paying attention on both sides of the aisle. But Obama can be excused because his media\u2019s not reporting all that\u2019s going on out there. He can be excused for not knowing what\u2019s going on. <\/p>\n

I want to report something to you that happened last Friday and ask you if you\u2019ve heard about this. It\u2019s from our old buddies at NewsBusters.org. One hundred and sixty-four rallies across the United States last Friday against the federal government\u2019s abortifacient birth control mandate under Obamacare, 164 rallies. Religious leaders and conservative politicians addressed tens of thousands of pro-religious freedom activists who attended the rallies. ABC, CBS, NBC did not think they were worthy of coverage, either in their morning or evening newscasts. <\/p>\n

“By contrast, CBS played up the supporters of a group of left-leaning Catholic nuns during four on-air segments between May 30 and June 1, 2012. Correspondent Wyatt Andrews hyped how ‘hundreds of Catholics have rallied behind the sisters,\u2019 and that ‘protests in support of the nuns have been held in almost 50 cities.'” Have you heard about any of this? One paragraph Snerdley said he saw on the 164 rallies across the country. The nun story. Do you know what the nun story is? Yep. Yeah, but what are the nuns doing? Do you know what the nuns are doing? The nuns have gone feminazi on everybody. This small group of nuns in the Catholic Church is going feminist, and the Vatican is obviously — well, a figure of speech, slapping them down. And the Vatican is trying to tamp it down and say, “No, no, no, that doesn\u2019t happen. There\u2019s no such thing as a feminist nun.” <\/p>\n

Anyway, that\u2019s what CBS spent four stories doing. One hundred sixty-four rallies across the country, tens of thousands of people protesting the encroachment by Obamacare on religious liberty. They didn\u2019t report it. There are things like this, Tea Party rallies, all kinds of things happening all over the country that are happening and are not being reported. And so Obama and his crowd might be excused for not knowing this stuff is happening because their media outlets are not reporting it. <\/line><\/p>\n

On the other hand, Spike Lee is predicting a tough road to reelection for President Kardashian. He gave an interview to GQ magazine. Spike Lee said, “This thing is not a lock. It\u2019s not a lock that President Obama\u2019s getting a second term. People have to really rekindle the enthusiasm that we had the first time.” Now, Spike hosted a fundraiser for Obama in January. He said he just had a meeting with somebody high up in the Obama campaign to discuss the race. He said, “I can\u2019t say to all the people that are unhappy with him that they\u2019re racist people. People ain\u2019t got jobs, man. People ain\u2019t got jobs. People are hurting. So I don\u2019t care what color you are, if people are out of work, it\u2019s tough. And then when you\u2019re the first African-American president, that\u2019s not helping, either.” What? Not helping? <\/p>\n

Spike Lee, in the end it says here, doesn\u2019t sound too worried because Romney is the opponent. He said, “Once we get to the debates, my man\u2019s gonna tear him up. It\u2019s gonna be obvious who should lead the country for the next four years once they go head-to-head, toe-to-toe, elbow-to-elbow, butt-to-butt, and I don\u2019t think Romney can hang with him.” I think you people are lying to yourselves. I think you have an inflated sense of Obama\u2019s talent and skill. You take the prompter away from him, and it\u2019s a car wreck, potentially. <\/line><\/p>\n

That\u2019s why people are gonna watch. All of these assumptions: Obama\u2019s brilliant, smarter than everybody else. These people really think, David Plouffe and these guys really think Obama can win on trust? We\u2019re gonna trust him more on the economy and on green energy and on Afghanistan and so forth? Debt? What are they smoking? Sounds like the whole campaign\u2019s a choom room. And these nuns sound like a bunch of Flukes.<\/p>\n

BREAK TRANSCRIPT<\/p>\n

RUSH: I have a question. Will Spike Lee be taken to the woodshed for saying that some people who oppose Obama are not racist? <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

RUSH: Make no mistake about it: Democrats are panicking. Karen Tumulty in the Washington Post is the latest example in the media. But they\u2019re all writing stories now that Democrats are waking up in the morning now and for the first time confronting the real possibility — in fact, some are even calling it a […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","ngg_post_thumbnail":0},"categories":[],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"\nPanic! 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