{"id":14052,"date":"2012-11-05T18:35:04","date_gmt":"2012-11-05T18:35:04","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2012-11-05T18:35:04","modified_gmt":"2012-11-05T18:35:04","slug":"why_is_nobody_calculating_2010","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/admin.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/2012\/11\/05\/why_is_nobody_calculating_2010\/","title":{"rendered":"Why Is Nobody Calculating 2010?"},"content":{"rendered":"

RUSH: It looks like the final Gallup is out, and it\u2019s 49-48 Romney, and in no poll<\/a> that I could find is Obama higher than 48%. In no poll is he over 48%. I can\u2019t find a poll where Obama is over 48% Well, maybe there\u2019s one where he\u2019s at 49. I mean, CNN has him at 49%. He\u2019s not at 50%, anyway. Again, just to repeat: Rasmussen\u2019s out with his final Summary of Party Affiliation, as of October 31st.<\/p>\n

This is a huge sample of people that Scott Rasmussen asks are they Republican or Democrat or independent or what have you. He has the Republicans at their highest party affiliation he\u2019s ever recorded since he\u2019s been doing this. Basically it\u2019s Republicans plus six: Republicans 39, Democrats 33. The actual number is 5.8. We\u2019ll round it up to six points. Rasmussen had the exact turnout in 2008 at Democrats plus seven.<\/p>\n

So he has a track record here.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

I\u2019m just throwing this all into the hopper because what we\u2019re doing here is we\u2019re comparing what we think versus what everybody in the establishment\u2019s telling us, and the two don\u2019t jibe. So then you end up with a conflict of what you feel versus what you think. In my case what I think always triumphs over what I feel. What I think, I\u2019ve got no fear. No fear on the thinking side of this.<\/p>\n

Now, you tell me if this matters. Bruce Springsteen is in Madison, Wisconsin, and he\u2019s performing in front of 18,000 people. You think, “Oh, man! Oh, wow.” Until you remember that Springsteen and John Kerry on the same day in 2004 turned out a crowd of 70,000. Does that mean anything? Springsteen and John Kerry in 2004 had crowd of 70,000 in Madison, Wisconsin. Today, it\u2019s 18,000.<\/p>\n

Barely 2,000 people in Cleveland for Stevie the Boy Wonder last week. That was so small, it didn\u2019t even get commented on. There was barely any mention of it. There was one local story and that was it. Then you have all of the data on the ground. You got the polling over here that shows the race today but then no matter where you go, you see that the Democrats\u2019 early voting advantage is either way down or wiped out.<\/p>\n

We\u2019ve been chronicling all of that last week <\/a>as the early voting numbers came in, and the same thing with the absentee requests. And then we see that Obama\u2019s gonna do an interview either today or tomorrow with Ryan Seacrest. Now, nothing against Ryan Seacrest, but that\u2019s an interview with your base. That\u2019s not a broaden-the-base interview. Then we got Moochelle Obama on Friday trying to get the black vote at two black colleges in Virginia.<\/p>\n

You got Bill Clinton and Colin Powell in Pennsylvania. All these media people are talking about, “Obama\u2019s got Pennsylvania wrapped up. Yeah, he\u2019s got Minnesota wrapped up.” Apparently not! You see, because they\u2019re on the ground working those states. And I will guarantee you that those states that they\u2019re in — Pennsylvania, Minnesota — are the last places they thought they\u2019d be the day before the election. No way.<\/p>\n

I mentioned Michael Barone. Michael Barone admits that he\u2019s going out on a limb here, and he says he could be wrong about a couple swing states. But Michael Barone is not just anybody. Barone is the gold standard of election prognosticators, and also postelection analysis. I mean, this guy goes precinct by precinct by precinct after every election and puts together what is called the Almanac of American Politics.<\/p>\n

It tells you who voted for what, where, when, why in the smallest burghs and precincts all over this country. He knows the American electorate almost on a precinct-by-precinct level. In election night coverage, they\u2019ll start talking about some county in Montana you\u2019ve never heard of and he\u2019s intimately aware of it. Just to give you an example. He says what the polling data indicates, that independents are breaking big for Romney.<\/p>\n

Independents are what define a swing state.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Am I right about that? I mean, a swing state is called a swing state because they\u2019re independent people who go either way. Independents. So if Pennsylvania is now a swing state, then independents are the determining factor. Independents are breaking for Romney all over the place. He says the Republican turnout is gonna be higher than the Democrats. Well, every bit of evidence that we\u2019ve seen so far indicates that that\u2019s true.<\/p>\n

It was in 2010.<\/p>\n

I\u2019m sorry to keep going back to that, but I think I\u2019m the only guy that\u2019s looking at 2010. It\u2019s making me wonder why. Nobody is calculating 2010. I\u2019m talking about the professionals when you turn on television. I don\u2019t care what it is, I don\u2019t care what network, you don\u2019t hear any of these people talking about what happened in 2010. I know they don\u2019t think it\u2019s an apples-to-apples comparison, but it is better than a 2008 comparison.<\/p>\n

Because 2008 was a fraud election. In 2008, Obama was an entirely different candidate. In 2008, Obama was Mr. Perfect. People that voted for Obama — and it was only 53%, by the way. Let us not forget that. It wasn\u2019t some massive landslide in 2008. It wasn\u2019t this whole country voting for Obama. It was 53%. Yep, it\u2019s a majority, but it\u2019s not commensurate with what everybody thinks or thought Obama\u2019s wild, massive, uncontrollable popularity was.<\/p>\n

It was just 53%.<\/p>\n

But back in 2008, Obama was Mr. Perfect.<\/p>\n

By that I mean you could make him whatever you wanted him to be. He was an empty canvas. All the circumstances came together. The American people were tired of Bush, they were tired of the war, they were tired of torture, tired of all of it. They were tired of the economy, tired of the media beating everything. They\u2019re tired. And here came this guy that they portrayed as a messiah.<\/p>\n

He was gonna end all the strife! There wouldn\u2019t be any more torture, wouldn\u2019t be any more discord, wouldn\u2019t be any more partisanship. Believe me, to people that voted that way, that was huge at them. That\u2019s gone. There is no such candidate today. In 2010, the electorate turned out to reject Barack Obama, and nothing has changed except it\u2019s gotten worse — which, to me, 2010 is a far-more-relevant turnout model and election model than 2008 is, because 2008 is gone.<\/p>\n

That candidate\u2019s gone, doesn\u2019t exist. They can\u2019t get that back. There\u2019s no magic. There\u2019s no magic. There\u2019s no messiah. There\u2019s no empty canvas. There\u2019s no magical fix. There\u2019s no, “Gee, we\u2019ve never seen a guy like this before.” There\u2019s no, “Gee, man, this guy is smart! This guy, he can solve anything.” That\u2019s gone. At best, he\u2019s a total incompetent. So I go back to 2010 in all these swing states and I look at what happened with the Tea Party, and nothing\u2019s changed, other than to have worsened.<\/p>\n

I haven\u2019t seen any slackening of enthusiasm for what happened in 2010. The Tea Party has only gotten bigger. The Tea Party\u2019s ground game has only been improved. The grassroots are deeper, and yet everybody wants to go back to 2008. “Well, that\u2019s right, Rush. You just don\u2019t know what you\u2019re talking about. 2008 is a presidential race, 2012\u2019s a presidential race. The 2010 were midterms. You can\u2019t count on midterms. People always vote against the incumbent in the midterm, and so forth.”<\/p>\n

Not always.<\/p>\n

They didn\u2019t vote against Bush in 2002 in the midterms.<\/p>\n

I\u2019ll never forget it. I was on the election night coverage that night on NBC, and they were stumped. So, anyway, here\u2019s Barone and basically he says Romney\u2019s gonna win handily. He\u2019s got Romney at over 300 electoral voters. So does Dick Morris, so does Karl Rove, so do Larry Kudlow. There are a number of people that do, for their own reasons. Barone is predicting Romney\u2019s gonna win Pennsylvania, Ohio, Wisconsin, New Hampshire, Colorado, and Virginia.<\/p>\n

He said that scenario will have been Romney 315 electoral votes to Obama\u2019s 223.<\/p>\n

So even if Barone\u2019s wrong and Romney loses Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, he\u2019d still win the election if everything else Barone thinks is right. He says he can still lose a couple swing states and still win this. I listen to the Drive-Bys, and they\u2019re talking about Obama\u2019s path to 271. I don\u2019t hear anybody talking about Obama\u2019s path to 300 plus. Even among the Drive-Bys, you\u2019ve got a narrow Obama win, a narrow Romney win, or a Romney blowout. But I don\u2019t hear anybody talking about an Obama blowout, and there certainly isn\u2019t one indicated anywhere in the polling data. <\/p>\n

So the bottom line from Michael Barone is Romney 315, Obama 223, and he says that sounds high for Romney, but he could drop Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and still win the election. “Fundamentals usually prevail in American elections. That\u2019s bad news for Barack Obama. True, Americans want to think well of their presidents and many think it would be bad if Americans were perceived as rejecting the first black president. But it\u2019s also true that most voters oppose Obama\u2019s major policies and consider unsatisfactory the very sluggish economic recovery.”<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

I cannot tell you, folks, I cannot overemphasize, it would be impossible to exaggerate the role race plays in Drive-By Media analysis and hope. I cannot exaggerate what a factor that is. That is the primary factor in the coverage Obama got in 2008. It\u2019s a factor in why the media\u2019s ignoring Benghazi.<\/a> It\u2019s why the media\u2019s doing everything they can to avoid any negative coverage of Obama. It\u2019s about race and their view of the civil rights movement and their overall opinion, the liberals\u2019 overall opinion that the deck is forever stacked against African-Americans. It will never be a level playing field for them. It\u2019ll never be fair. This country doesn\u2019t have it in its capacity to be fair to blacks because of slavery. Nothing will ever make up for it, and so, I\u2019m telling you, it\u2019s what animates \u2019em. And I know this because I\u2019ve talked to enough of them about it. I\u2019ve heard what enough of them say about it to know exactly what I\u2019m talking about. <\/p>\n

I could give you other real-world examples to illustrate how I\u2019m right about this, but it\u2019s not necessary for what we\u2019re talking about today. So maybe some other time I will do that. But there\u2019s other things out there. The Scott Walker recall<\/a>, Wisconsin. Three times Democrats thought they had that in the bag, three times. They didn\u2019t even get close. And what was the polling data on the last Scott Walker recall? Neck and neck. Have the Democrats won anything since 2008? They lost the Walker recall. Look at the Chick-fil-A <\/a>boycott. That just came out of nowhere, and that was not covered, either. Real world, Realville. The signs are everywhere. But somebody tell me, what significant elections have the Democrats won since 2008. They lost Weiner\u2019s seat. Huma Weiner\u2019s husband got beat by Bob Turner. They lost Weiner\u2019s seat in a sex scandal. That\u2019s usually a resume enhancement for Democrats. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

RUSH: It looks like the final Gallup is out, and it\u2019s 49-48 Romney, and in no poll that I could find is Obama higher than 48%. In no poll is he over 48%. I can\u2019t find a poll where Obama is over 48% Well, maybe there\u2019s one where he\u2019s at 49. I mean, CNN has […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","ngg_post_thumbnail":0},"categories":[],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"\nWhy Is Nobody Calculating 2010? - The Rush Limbaugh Show<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/2012\/11\/05\/why_is_nobody_calculating_2010\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Why Is Nobody Calculating 2010? - The Rush Limbaugh Show\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"RUSH: It looks like the final Gallup is out, and it\u2019s 49-48 Romney, and in no poll that I could find is Obama higher than 48%. In no poll is he over 48%. 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I mean, CNN has […]\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"https:\/\/live-rush-limbaugh.pantheonsite.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/RushTeaParty585_110512.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"GeorgePrayias\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"9 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.rushlimbaugh.com\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.rushlimbaugh.com\/\",\"name\":\"The Rush Limbaugh Show\",\"description\":\"Excellence In Broadcasting\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/www.rushlimbaugh.com\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/2012\/11\/05\/why_is_nobody_calculating_2010\/#primaryimage\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/live-rush-limbaugh.pantheonsite.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/RushTeaParty585_110512.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/live-rush-limbaugh.pantheonsite.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/RushTeaParty585_110512.jpg\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/2012\/11\/05\/why_is_nobody_calculating_2010\/#webpage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/2012\/11\/05\/why_is_nobody_calculating_2010\/\",\"name\":\"Why Is Nobody Calculating 2010? - The Rush Limbaugh Show\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.rushlimbaugh.com\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/2012\/11\/05\/why_is_nobody_calculating_2010\/#primaryimage\"},\"datePublished\":\"2012-11-05T18:35:04+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2012-11-05T18:35:04+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.rushlimbaugh.com\/#\/schema\/person\/9a33276eb9dc5b6d3f8218957f30e6b4\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/2012\/11\/05\/why_is_nobody_calculating_2010\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/2012\/11\/05\/why_is_nobody_calculating_2010\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/2012\/11\/05\/why_is_nobody_calculating_2010\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/www.rushlimbaugh.com\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Why Is Nobody Calculating 2010?\"}]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.rushlimbaugh.com\/#\/schema\/person\/9a33276eb9dc5b6d3f8218957f30e6b4\",\"name\":\"GeorgePrayias\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.rushlimbaugh.com\/#personlogo\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/d290ab65e2eaca3719268528f83b85bf?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/d290ab65e2eaca3719268528f83b85bf?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"GeorgePrayias\"},\"url\":\"https:\/\/admin.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/author\/GeorgePrayias\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Why Is Nobody Calculating 2010? - The Rush Limbaugh Show","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/2012\/11\/05\/why_is_nobody_calculating_2010\/","twitter_card":"summary","twitter_title":"Why Is Nobody Calculating 2010? - The Rush Limbaugh Show","twitter_description":"RUSH: It looks like the final Gallup is out, and it\u2019s 49-48 Romney, and in no poll that I could find is Obama higher than 48%. In no poll is he over 48%. I can\u2019t find a poll where Obama is over 48% Well, maybe there\u2019s one where he\u2019s at 49. 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